Claims

Unexcused absences quadruple from eighth to ninth grade, explaining most of the drop in grades and pass rates across all student groups

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r2 · q3
Currency · newest study 2014 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i? Students' unexcused absences quadruple between eighth and ninth grade, and this explains the vast majority of the large drop in grades and pass rates. → Stevens 2014 q3 i? The effort decline is observed among high- and low-achieving students, boys and girls, across all subjects, in high- and low-performing schools, and in every racial/ethnic group. → Stevens 2014 (2)

Evidence

Stevens 2014

Stevens, W. D., Allensworth, E. M., Pareja, A. S., de la Torre, M., Gwynne, J. A., Rosenkranz, T., & Sebastian, J. (2014). Free to Fail or On-Track to College: An Introduction to the UChicago CCSR Research Series. UChicago CCSR Research Brief. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/free-fail-or-track-college

q3 · i? · associational · r2

The Focus on Freshmen Study, following about 22,000 students from eighth grade (spring 2008) through ninth grade (2008-09), documented the transition decline. The brief reports "Students’ unexcused absences quadruple" and that this explains most of the drop in grades and pass rates.

"Students’ unexcused absences quadruple when they move from eighth to ninth grade, and this explains the vast majority of the large drop in grades and pass rates."

Stevens 2014 (2)

Stevens, W. D., Allensworth, E. M., Pareja, A. S., de la Torre, M., Gwynne, J. A., Rosenkranz, T., & Sebastian, J. (2014). Free to Fail or On-Track to College: An Introduction to the UChicago CCSR Research Series. UChicago CCSR Research Brief. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/free-fail-or-track-college

q3 · i? · associational · r2

The same district-wide record analysis found the effort and grade decline was universal across subgroups: "in every racial/ethnic group," among high- and low-achieving students, both genders, all subjects, and high- and low-performing schools. The brief argues this pattern indicates the school context plays a large role.

"This decline is observed among high- and low-achieving students, among boys and girls, across all subjects, in high-per -forming schools and low-performing schools, and in every racial/ethnic group."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id absences-quadruple-transition-explain-grade-drop
title Unexcused absences quadruple from eighth to ninth grade, explaining most of the drop in grades and pass rates across all student groups
description Unexcused absences quadruple from eighth to ninth grade, explaining most of the drop in grades and pass rates across all student groups
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2014
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 2 — stevens-2014, stevens-2014-2

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