At-risk students show substantially lower achievement than non-At-risk peers on state tests¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2025 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2030: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Students identified as At-risk scored lower on ELA, math, and science SBAC in 2023/24; for example, 60 percent of At-risk students scored Level 1 in ELA versus 26 percent of non-At-risk students. → Tanner 2025

Evidence¶

Tanner 2025¶

Tanner, S., Krausen, K., Garcia, B., & Brown, A. (2025). Understanding the At-risk indicator: Nevada's Pupil-Centered Funding Plan. WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED677573

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive comparison of 2023/24 SBAC performance levels by At-risk status, with outcomes observed roughly 7 months after October 1 identification. "60 percent of students identified as At-risk scored at a Level 1 on the ELA SBAC" vs. 26 percent of Not At-risk; math 70 percent vs. 32 percent at Level 1; science 73 percent vs. 38 percent. Only descriptive percentages are printed; no statistical test or effect size.

"60 percent of students identified as At-risk scored at a Level 1 on the ELA SBAC, while only 26 percent of students who were not identified as At-risk scored at Level 1."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Black students in LBUSD score behind all other ethnic groups and ELLs on the 2024 SBAC, with only 20 percent meeting or exceeding achievement in math and 34 percent in ELA — related
• Literacy screener benchmarks predict which grade 3 students will not meet MCAS ELA expectations, but not necessarily who will meet them — related