Claims

Candidate selection is a second bottleneck: an oracle ranker over proposed candidates substantially raises proportional match, and plausibility checks reject some valid distractors

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · causal r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2029: tool and model accuracy changes quickly

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i? An oracle ranker raises DEEPSEEK-V3.2's proportional match from 0.52 to 0.67 on Eedi and from 0.14 to 0.29 on SciQ, showing the model proposes valid distractors it then discards. → Yanick Zengaffinen 2026 q2 i? The model argues against keeping 28% of candidates matching human-authored distractors on Eedi and 15% on SciQ, though the checks reject invalid candidates 1.5–1.9× as often as valid ones. → Yanick Zengaffinen 2026 (2)

Evidence

Yanick Zengaffinen 2026

Yanick Zengaffinen, Andreas Opedal, Donya Rooein, Kv Aditya Srivatsa, Shashank Sonkar, Mrinmaya Sachan. (2026). Can LLMs Model Incorrect Student Reasoning? A Case Study on Distractor Generation for Multiple-Choice Questions. https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.15547 doi:10.48550/arxiv.2603.15547

q2 · i? · causal · r2

Oracle-ranker analysis in the failure-mode section: each annotated INST candidate is matched against the human-authored set, and the gap to the final set quantifies selection loss. Significant under paired t-test, p<10−7; no effect size printed.

"The oracle raises DEEPSEEK-V3.2’s proportional match from 0.52 to 0.67 on Eedi and from 0.14 to 0.29 on SciQ (paired t-test, p <10−7), recovering about a third of the otherwise-missed distractors on Eedi and a sixth on SciQ."

Yanick Zengaffinen 2026 (2)

Yanick Zengaffinen, Andreas Opedal, Donya Rooein, Kv Aditya Srivatsa, Shashank Sonkar, Mrinmaya Sachan. (2026). Can LLMs Model Incorrect Student Reasoning? A Case Study on Distractor Generation for Multiple-Choice Questions. https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.15547

q2 · i? · qualitative · r3

Trace-level classification of plausibility and discriminability checks arguing for or against keeping each candidate; the article adds that the checks do discriminate, rejecting invalid candidates 1.5–1.9× as often as valid ones.

"we find that the model argues against keeping 28% of the candidates that match human-authored ones on Eedi and 15% on SciQ under DEEPSEEK-V3.2 (the same pattern holds for GLM-4.7)"

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id candidate-selection-loss-oracle-ranker
title Candidate selection is a second bottleneck: an oracle ranker over proposed candidates substantially raises proportional match, and plausibility checks reject some valid distractors
description Candidate selection is a second bottleneck: an oracle ranker over proposed candidates substantially raises proportional match, and plausibility checks reject some valid distractors
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2026
recheck_by 2029
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-11
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 2 — yanick-zengaffinen-2026, yanick-zengaffinen-2026-2

Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.