Elementary school City Connects exposure is associated with approximately half the odds of high school dropout relative to no exposure¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · causal r2 · q3 · i2 medium
Currency · newest study 2015 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i2 Students enrolled in City Connects beginning in kindergarten have approximately half the odds of dropping out of high school in any given grade compared to never-exposed students (OR = .502, p < .001). → Walsh 2015 q3 i? Aggregated across grades 9-12, comparison students drop out at a rate of ~15.2% while City Connects students drop out at ~8.0%, translating to ~358 fewer dropouts for a typical entering 9th-grade cohort. → Walsh 2015 (2)

Evidence¶

Walsh 2015¶

Walsh, M. E., Lee-St. John, T. J., Raczek, A., & Foley, C. (2015). The long-term impact of systematic student support in elementary school: Reducing high school dropout. SREE Spring 2015 Conference. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED562544

q3 · i2 · causal · r2

Quasi-experimental discrete event history analysis (hierarchical logistic regression) of longitudinal Boston Public Schools data, 2001-02 through 2011-12, comparing 2,265 City Connects students to 19,979 comparison students. The study reports "approximately half the odds of dropping out of high school in any given grade (OR = .502, p < .001)" for kindergarten-starting participants.

"Relative to students who were never exposed to the intervention, students enrolled in City Connects beginning in kindergarten have approximately half the odds of dropping out of high school in any given grade (OR = .502, p < .001)."

Walsh 2015 (2)¶

Walsh, M. E., Lee-St. John, T. J., Raczek, A., & Foley, C. (2015). The long-term impact of systematic student support in elementary school: Reducing high school dropout. SREE Spring 2015 Conference. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED562544

q3 · i? · causal · r2

The same quasi-experimental study transformed model coefficients into cumulative dropout rates aggregated across grades 9-12, finding comparison students drop out at "a rate of ~15.2%" versus ~8.0% for City Connects students, yielding ~358 fewer dropouts per typical entering 9th-grade cohort of ~5000 students.

"By transforming model coefficients into rates, then aggregating across grades 9 - 12, we find that comparison students drop out of high school at a rate of ~15.2%, while City Connects students drop out at a rate of ~8.0%."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Earlier initial exposure to City Connects yields stronger dropout-reduction effects, with benefits fading after grade 3 — a broader claim this one bears on
• City Connects exposure during elementary school is associated with lower chronic absenteeism and grade retention through middle and early high school — a broader claim this one bears on
• City Connects exposure during elementary school is associated with higher middle school report card and standardized test scores — related