Confidence ratings shift toward higher confidence across adolescence and decline in adulthood (Broc)¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2013 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2018: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Type II bias (Broc) showed a significant age × age group interaction (F(1,52) = 11.5, p = .001), driven by a positive correlation with age in adolescents (r = .41, p = .028) and a negative correlation in adults (r = −.49, p = .008). → Weil L.G. 2013
Evidence¶
Weil L.G. 2013¶
Weil L.G., Fleming S.M., Dumontheil I., Kilford E.J., Weil R.S., Rees G., Dolan R.J., Blakemore S.-J. (2013). The development of metacognitive ability in adolescence. Consciousness and Cognition. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.concog.2013.01.004
q3 · i? · associational · r2
Univariate ANOVA of Broc in the same sample found a significant main effect of age group (F(1,52) = 10.50, p = .002) with higher Broc in adolescents; "the ratings tended to be biased towards greater confidence over the course of adolescence and declined in adulthood".
"the interaction effect was driven by a positive correlation between age and Broc in the adolescents (r = .41, p = .028), and a negative correlation in the adults (r = −.49, p = .008)."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Metacognitive ability increases with age during adolescence and plateaus in adulthood when task performance is held constant — related
- The adolescent improvement in metacognitive ability is independent of perceptual task performance, which was clamped and uncorrelated with age — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
confidence-bias-rises-in-adolescence-declines-adulthood |
title |
Confidence ratings shift toward higher confidence across adolescence and decline in adulthood (Broc) |
description |
Confidence ratings shift toward higher confidence across adolescence and decline in adulthood (Broc) |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2013 |
recheck_by |
2018 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-16 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — weil-lg-2013 |
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