Claims

Higher self-reported confusion predicts a much larger negative effect on future performance when learners answer more questions incorrectly

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causal r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2016 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Evidence quality · No study behind this claim is a peer-reviewed article with a DOI: it rests on an ERIC document (a report, conference paper or thesis). It is kept because 3 design pages cite it; treat it as a lead to check, not an established finding.

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i? In the model, the interaction between the count of prior unsuccessful trials and averaged self-reported confusion was significant (estimate -0.18), such that confusion was more detrimental during mostly unsuccessful practice. → Maass 2016

Evidence

Maass 2016

Maass, J.K. and Pavlik Jr., P.I. (2016). Modeling the Influence of Format and Depth during Effortful Retrieval Practice. Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Educational Data Mining. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED592715

q2 · i? · causal · r2

Exploratory affect modeling within the PFA-based logistic regression: confusion (averaged before/after practice) was the only affect improving model fit, and the Prior Incorrect x Confusion parameter (estimate -0.18, Z = -3.78) was retained. The authors call this work exploratory.

"when a learner answers more questions incorrectly, higher confusion predicts a much larger negative effect than if a learner has higher confusion but is still having mostly successful practice."

Discussion

Learner Variables

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id confusion-amplifies-negative-effect-of-incorrect-trials
title Higher self-reported confusion predicts a much larger negative effect on future performance when learners answer more questions incorrectly
description Higher self-reported confusion predicts a much larger negative effect on future performance when learners answer more questions incorrectly
status review
evidence_strength weak
newest_evidence 2016
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-02
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — maass-2016

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