Long-term prevalence of post-deployment mental health problems is expected to exceed pre-deployed/non-deployed baseline ranges across all four outcome domains¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · quant-synthesisr3·q3
Currency · newest study 2018 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2023: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Based on baseline prevalence in comparison samples and the pooled odds ratios, the review expects long-term post-deployment prevalence of 6.1–14.9% for PTSD, 7.6–18% for depression, 2.4–17.5% for substance use and 10–23% for common mental disorder. → Bøg M 2018
Evidence¶
Bøg M 2018¶
Bøg M, Filges T, & Jørgensen A.M.K. (2018). Deployment of personnel to military operations: impact on mental health and social functioning. Campbell Systematic Reviews. https://doi.org/10.4073/csr.2018.6
q3 · i? · quant-synthesis · r3
This is the review's own derived expectation, combining baseline prevalence in pre-deployed or non-deployed comparison samples with its pooled long-term odds ratios; the printed ranges are expectations, not directly measured post-deployment prevalences.
"On the basis of the prevalence of mental health problems in pre‐deployed or non‐deployed population based comparison sampleswe would therefore expect the long term prevalence of PTSD in post‐deployed samples to be in the range 6.1 – 14.9%, the long term prevalence of depression to be in the range from 7.6% to 18%, the long term prevalence of substance use to be in the range from 2.4% to 17.5% and the prevalence of common mental disorder to be in the range from 10% to 23%."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- The effect of deployment on mental health outcomes does not differ by branch of service or duty/enlistment status — related
- In long-term assessments, personnel reporting high combat exposure have higher odds of screening positive for PTSD and depression than personnel reporting lower exposure — related
- More than 24 months after exposure, deployed personnel have higher odds of screening positive for PTSD, depression, substance use and common mental disorder than non-deployed personnel — related
- Pooled effect sizes for deployment on mental health are robust across components of methodological quality in sensitivity analyses — related
- For assessments taken less than 24 months since exposure, the evidence on deployment effects on mental health is inconclusive — related
- At other (variable) time points since exposure, deployed personnel do not have higher odds of screening positive for substance use than non-deployed personnel — related
- At other (variable) time points since exposure, deployed personnel show significantly higher odds of PTSD and depression than non-deployed personnel, while the common mental disorder analysis is inconclusive — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
deployment-long-term-prevalence-ranges-exceed-baseline |
title |
Long-term prevalence of post-deployment mental health problems is expected to exceed pre-deployed/non-deployed baseline ranges across all four outcome domains |
description |
Long-term prevalence of post-deployment mental health problems is expected to exceed pre-deployed/non-deployed baseline ranges across all four outcome domains |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2018 |
recheck_by |
2023 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-08 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — bøg-m-2018 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.