Height at age 12 can be predicted from height at age 6 with a probable error of estimate of 2.98 cm for boys and 2.58 cm for girls¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 1922 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
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q2 i? Regression prediction of height six years later yields PE of estimate of 2.98 cm for 12-year-old boys and 2.58 cm for 12-year-old girls, and 2.09 cm and 2.81 cm for the older group. → Bird T. Baldwin 1922
Evidence¶
Bird T. Baldwin 1922¶
Bird T. Baldwin. (1922). The Relation Between Mental and Physical Growth. The Journal of Educational Psychology, Vol. XIII, No. 1. https://psycnet.apa.org/journals/edu/13/1/193
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Regression-based prediction analysis of the Iowa height data using the Pearson correlation method. The author reports "The PE of estimate on any individual case in these two groups" as 2.98 cm for boys and 2.58 cm for girls predicted from age 6.
"The PE of estimate on any individual case in these two groups, when the height of 12 year old boys is predicted from the height at 6, is found to be 2.98 cm., and for the 12 year old girls 2.58 cm."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Average-type children's percentage of final height attained by age 7 supports prediction of ultimate stature (70.3% for boys, 74.2% for girls) — related
- Children maintain their relative height rank within a group from ages 4 to 18, with little crossing of growth curves — related
- Growth measurements at age ten predict stature at sixteen within about 2.5 centimeters and IQ over the same period within 6.3 points — related
- Cross-sectional measurements of children of the same age may yield spurious growth facts because of great individual differences — related
- Coefficients of variability for physical traits tend to decrease from ages seven to seventeen and are generally higher in boys than in girls, per the review of Baldwin's growth study — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
height-prediction-probable-error |
title |
Height at age 12 can be predicted from height at age 6 with a probable error of estimate of 2.98 cm for boys and 2.58 cm for girls |
description |
Height at age 12 can be predicted from height at age 6 with a probable error of estimate of 2.98 cm for boys and 2.58 cm for girls |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
1922 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-24 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — bird-t-baldwin-1922 |
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