Fall-to-spring growth rates in high school grades, particularly in reading, are often close to zero and can be negative¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · designr1·q1
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2031: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q1 i? In high school grades, particularly in reading, fall-to-spring growth rates are often close to zero and negative growth can be observed, so the tool may display negative average or aspirational growth. → MAP Growth Goal Explorer user guide and FAQ 2026
Evidence¶
MAP Growth Goal Explorer user guide and FAQ 2026¶
MAP Growth Goal Explorer user guide and FAQ. (2026). HMH Education Company. https://www.nwea.org/research/publication/map-growth-goal-explorer-users-guide/
q1 · i? · design · r1
FAQ explanation for why negative average or aspirational growth may appear in the tool. The guide states that "fall-to-spring growth rates are often close to zero" in high school grades, particularly reading, without reporting underlying statistics.
"In the high school grades (particularly in reading), fall-to-spring growth rates are often close to zero, and negative growth can be observed."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Within-year (fall-to-spring) achievement gains decelerate linearly as students move through school, at roughly 1.4 to 4 RIT per year depending on subject and centering grade — a broader claim this one bears on
- Within-school-year achievement growth is often not linear, particularly in reading — related
- Mean foundational-skills scores rise from fall to spring with the largest gains in kindergarten and grade 1, and growth flattens by grades 2-3 — related
- Mathematics growth in Grades 1-3 is nonlinear with deceleration, so more growth occurs in the first half of the school year, and average growth rates decline across grade levels — related
- Aspirational Growth defaults to 60th-percentile growth (met by about 40% of similar students) and is selectable from the 55th to 95th percentile in 5-percentile increments — related
- The published norms allow normative interpretation of both status and fall-to-spring growth, e.g., an Algebra 1 student at the 55th fall percentile has an expected gain of 8 RIT with growth SD of 9, and an 11-RIT gain places the student at the 62nd growth percentile. — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
high-school-fall-spring-growth-near-zero |
title |
Fall-to-spring growth rates in high school grades, particularly in reading, are often close to zero and can be negative |
description |
Fall-to-spring growth rates in high school grades, particularly in reading, are often close to zero and can be negative |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2026 |
recheck_by |
2031 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — map-growth-goal-explorer-user-guide-and-faq-2026 |
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