Existing cognitive hope theories presuppose predictability and control, an assumption that breaks down under radical uncertainty¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · theoreticalr2·q1
Currency · newest study 2026 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q1 i? Cognitive-motivational hope theories implicitly presuppose a temporal structure of predictability and control, which fails in contexts where future outcomes cannot be meaningfully anticipated. → Bohlmeijer 2026
Evidence¶
Bohlmeijer 2026¶
Bohlmeijer, E., Nieuwenhuis, M., Dominguez, A. R., Klooster, P. ten, and Malboeuf-Hurtubise, C. (2026). Toward an integrative psychological framework of existential hope: navigating uncertain futures. Frontiers in Psychology. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2026.1850611
q1 · i? · theoretical · r2
Theoretical argument from the narrative review's introduction: the article argues that cognitive hope models assume individuals can "pursue clearly defined goals" and that this assumption "breaks down in contexts where established frameworks of meaning and social order are disrupted." No empirical data are offered for this conceptual claim.
"Cognitive approaches rely on a shared assumption: that individuals can envision future states, identify viable pathways, and pursue clearly defined goals (Snyder, 2002). These theories implicitly presuppose a temporal structure characterized by predictability and control."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Fear of hope: an acquired aversion to feeling hopeful due to anticipated disappointment may block hopeful engagement — related
- Naive hope is negatively related to civic engagement, while existential hope is proposed to be positively associated with it — related
- Distress tolerance and intolerance of uncertainty are consistently associated with mental health problems — related
- Agentic AI invalidates the three assumptions (evaluation, reversibility, control) on which existing AI literacy frameworks rest — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
hope-theories-presuppose-predictability |
title |
Existing cognitive hope theories presuppose predictability and control, an assumption that breaks down under radical uncertainty |
description |
Existing cognitive hope theories presuppose predictability and control, an assumption that breaks down under radical uncertainty |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2026 |
source_checked |
2026-10-20 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-09-27 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — bohlmeijer-2026 |
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