Claims

Learners judge massed-presented items as more likely to be recalled than distributed-presented items, although their recall is worse

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · causal r2 · q3
Currency · newest study 1980 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i? Ratings of recall likelihood were consistently greater for MP than DP items in each study block, though the overall mean difference was not statistically significant. → Zechmeister 1980 q3 i? The MP-DP difference in ratings was in marked opposition to the MP-DP difference in recall; the difference of the differences was statistically significant. → Zechmeister 1980 (2)

Evidence

Zechmeister 1980

Zechmeister, E. B., & Shaughnessy, J. J. (1980). When you know that you know and when you think that you know but you don't. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 15(1), 41-44. https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03329756

q3 · i? · causal · r2

Analysis of 7-point likelihood-of-recall ratings from the 24-subject free recall experiment. In all four study blocks MP ratings exceeded DP ratings (overall means 4.57 vs. 4.23), but the article reports the overall difference was "not statistically significant" [t(23) = 1.04].

"When mean ratings oflikelihood of recall are examined for MP and DP items, the results shown in Table I reveal that in each of the four study blocks ratings associated with MP items were greater than those for DP items ."

Zechmeister 1980 (2)

Zechmeister, E. B., & Shaughnessy, J. J. (1980). When you know that you know and when you think that you know but you don't. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 15(1), 41-44. https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03329756

q3 · i? · causal · r2

A z-score analysis of the same experiment contrasted the MP-DP difference in recall with the MP-DP difference in ratings. The "difference of the differences was statistically significant", showing ratings ran opposite to recall probability (Figure 2).

"Using z scores, the average MP-DP difference in recall performance was con­trasted with that for the rating task, and the resultant difference of the differences was statistically significant [t(23) = 2.64, Sdiff= .39, p <.05] ."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id judgments-overconfidence-massed-items
title Learners judge massed-presented items as more likely to be recalled than distributed-presented items, although their recall is worse
description Learners judge massed-presented items as more likely to be recalled than distributed-presented items, although their recall is worse
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 1980
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-16
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 2 — zechmeister-1980, zechmeister-1980-2

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