No consistent relationship was observed between false-positive and false-negative rates and either the question or the LLM model¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · designr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2029: tool and model accuracy changes quickly
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The study did not observe a consistent relationship between relative rates of false positives and false negatives and either the specific question or LLM model, contrary to expectations of systematic leniency or strictness. → Jacob Levine 2026
Evidence¶
Jacob Levine 2026¶
Jacob Levine, Miguel Aenlle, Craig Zilles, Matthew West, and Mariana Silva. (2026). Automated Grading of Handwritten Mathematics Using Vision-Capable LLMs. https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.19043 doi:10.48550/arxiv.2605.19043
q2 · i? · design · r2
Null observational finding from the rubric-item-level error analysis across five questions and three models. The article reports no consistent relationship was observed; the authors had expected some models might be consistently more lenient or strict. No effect size or test statistic is printed.
"Interestingly,wedidnotobserveaconsistentrelationshipbetweentherelativerates of false positives and false negatives and either the specific question or LLM model."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- LLM-based scoring produced fewer false negatives than Deep Tutor on a balanced test set, which the authors expect would spare students the frustration of correct explanations judged incorrect — related
- Some LLMs exhibit a selection bias against selecting option D on multiple-choice pedagogy questions — related
- GPT models showed lower accuracy with more rubric-related errors (28% vs. 13% for Gemini 3 Flash) and near parity between false positives and negatives — related
- AI grading errors concentrate in graphical tasks and include both false positives on incorrect equations and false negatives from misread sketches and labels — related
- Small language models used as automated judges exhibit severe leniency bias against tutoring responses — reports the opposite
- Validator false-negative cases reveal structural reasoning weaknesses, including answer-schema misinterpretation and internal inconsistency — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
no-consistent-fp-fn-pattern |
title |
No consistent relationship was observed between false-positive and false-negative rates and either the question or the LLM model |
description |
No consistent relationship was observed between false-positive and false-negative rates and either the question or the LLM model |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2026 |
recheck_by |
2029 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-11 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — jacob-levine-2026 |
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