Claims

No detection threshold simultaneously keeps original flag rates, light-edit capture, and AI-pool false negatives low

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causal r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2029: tool and model accuracy changes quickly

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i? Across τ ∈ {0.4, 0.5, 0.6}, Pangram holds roughly 15% original flags and 80% refine flags, while raising τ from 0.4 to 0.6 slightly increases FNR on AI-labeled rewrites (10.5% to 13.8%). → Jonathan A. Karr Jr. 2026

Evidence

Jonathan A. Karr Jr. 2026

Jonathan A. Karr Jr., Grigorii Khvatskii, Ting Hua, and Nitesh V. Chawla. (2026). Why AI Detection Fails for Academic Integrity. Proceedings of the ACM AI Leadership Summit (AILS '26). https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.11256 doi:10.48550/arxiv.2608.11256

q2 · i? · causal · r2

Threshold sensitivity sweep on the 2023–2025 pre-humanization collection (Table 5 and Appendix K), reporting original flag rate, refine flag rate, and AI-pool FNR at each threshold. The article reports "Pangram holds≈15% original flags and≈80% refine flags across that band."

"No threshold𝜏∈{ 0.4, 0.5, 0.6} simultaneously keeps original flag rates, refine capture, and AI-pool FNR low (Table 5): Pangram holds≈15% original flags and≈80% refine flags across that band, while raising𝜏 from 0.4 to 0.6 slightlyincreasesFNR on AI-labeled rewrites (10.5% to 13.8%)."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id no-threshold-satisfies-all-three-error-rates
title No detection threshold simultaneously keeps original flag rates, light-edit capture, and AI-pool false negatives low
description No detection threshold simultaneously keeps original flag rates, light-edit capture, and AI-pool false negatives low
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2026
recheck_by 2029
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-11
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — jonathan-a-karr-jr-2026

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