Claims

Children are considerably more overconfident about incorrect answers to true-false questions than about incorrect answers to open-ended questions

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · causal r1–r2 · q3 · i2–i3
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i2 CJs for incorrect answers to detail open-ended questions were substantially lower than CJs for incorrect answers to true-false questions (d = .70). → Steiner 2020 q3 i3 CJs for incorrect answers to causal open-ended questions were also substantially lower than for true-false questions (d = .88). → Steiner 2020 (2)

Evidence

Steiner 2020

Steiner, M., van Loon, M. H., Bayard, N. S., & Roebers, C. M. (2020). Development of Children's monitoring and control when learning from texts: effects of age and test format. Metacognition and Learning, 15, 3–27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-019-09208-5

q3 · i2 · causal · r2

Exploratory comparison of CJs for incorrect answers across question types, collapsed across grade and measurement point (Table 4). Confidence in incorrect detail open-ended answers was much lower than in incorrect true-false answers (d = .70).

"The comparison between CJs for incorrect responses for detail open-ended questions and true-false questions was more pronounced, as indicated by the large effect size, t (289) = −11.94, p < .001, Cohen 's d = .70"

Steiner 2020 (2)

Steiner, M., van Loon, M. H., Bayard, N. S., & Roebers, C. M. (2020). Development of Children's monitoring and control when learning from texts: effects of age and test format. Metacognition and Learning, 15, 3–27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-019-09208-5

q3 · i3 · causal · r1

Exploratory comparison of CJs for incorrect answers (Table 4). Confidence in incorrect causal open-ended answers was much lower than in incorrect true-false answers (d = .88); detail vs. causal open-ended CJs differed only slightly (d = .16).

"a comparison between CJs for incorrect answers to causal open-ended questions and true-false questions also showed a large effect size, t (291) = −14.35, p < .001, Cohen's d = .88"

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id overconfidence-incorrect-answers-higher-true-false
title Children are considerably more overconfident about incorrect answers to true-false questions than about incorrect answers to open-ended questions
description Children are considerably more overconfident about incorrect answers to true-false questions than about incorrect answers to open-ended questions
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2020
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-19
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 2 — steiner-2020, steiner-2020-2

Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.