Claims

Rapid guessing had mostly minimal effects on estimates of school contributions to student growth in this sample

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2019 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2022: tool and model accuracy changes quickly

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i? Only the fall-to-fall linear growth difference between unadjusted and filtered models was significant at the .05 level; other parameter differences were not significant and magnitudes were modest. → Kuhfeld 2019 q2 i? Empirical Bayes school-level estimates from original and adjusted scores were highly correlated (filtering .914 to .978; effort-moderated roughly at or above .99). → Kuhfeld 2019 (2)

Evidence

Kuhfeld 2019

Kuhfeld, M. & Soland, J. (2019). Using Assessment Metadata to Quantify the Impact of Test Disengagement on Estimates of Educational Effectiveness. (The Collaborative for Student Growth at NWEA Working Paper). https://www.nwea.org/research/publication/using-assessment-metadata-to-quantify-the-impact-of-test-disengagement-on-estimates-of-educational-effectiveness-paper/

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Three-level HLMs of MAP Growth reading RIT scores for 22,055 students in 343 schools compared unadjusted, filtered, and effort-moderated outcomes. The article reports "significant at the .05 level" only for the filtered fall-to-fall linear growth contrast; linear growth estimates ranged from 6.25 to 6.67 points.

"differences in estimates of school contributions to fall-to-fall linear growth between the unadjusted and filtered models are significant at the .05 level. None of the other differences are significant."

Kuhfeld 2019 (2)

Kuhfeld, M. & Soland, J. (2019). Using Assessment Metadata to Quantify the Impact of Test Disengagement on Estimates of Educational Effectiveness. (The Collaborative for Student Growth at NWEA Working Paper). https://www.nwea.org/research/publication/using-assessment-metadata-to-quantify-the-impact-of-test-disengagement-on-estimates-of-educational-effectiveness-paper/

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Figure 1 scatterplots compare empirical Bayes school random-effect estimates from original RIT scores with filtered and effort-moderated estimates. The text states "correlations range from .914 to .978" under filtering and roughly .99 or above for effort-moderated scores.

"When filtering is used, correlations range from .914 to .978. For effort-moderated scores, correlations are all roughly at or above .99."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id rapid-guessing-minimal-school-growth-estimates
title Rapid guessing had mostly minimal effects on estimates of school contributions to student growth in this sample
description Rapid guessing had mostly minimal effects on estimates of school contributions to student growth in this sample
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2019
recheck_by 2022
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 2 — kuhfeld-2019, kuhfeld-2019-2

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