Growth in self-management predicts 9th-grade off-track status above and beyond 6th-grade status on that construct¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q3
Currency · newest study 2019 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i? Growth adds predictive value beyond initial status, most consistently for self-management across GPA and suspension outcomes and across single- and multi-construct models. → Soland 2019

Evidence¶

Soland 2019¶

Soland, J. & Kuhfeld, M. (2019). Identifying students who are off-track academically in 9th Grade: the role of social-emotional learning trajectories. (NWEA Collaborative for Student Growth Research Brief). https://www.nwea.org/research/publication/identifying-students-who-are-off-track-academically-in-9th-grade-the-role-of-social-emotional-learning-trajectories/

q3 · i? · associational · r2

From the single-construct SEM results comparing SEL coefficient magnitudes with background-covariate odds ratios (Table 4). The article frames this as evidence that growth is often a significant predictor above and beyond 6th-grade status, though coefficients can shift by model.

"the decrease in the odds of having a GPA below a C for a one standard deviation increase in self-management (both the intercept and growth), is about equivalent to the increase in the odds of having a GPA below a C if the student is low-income (Table 4)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• In a pooled multivariate model, the combined self-efficacy/self-management growth predicts about 80% lower odds of suspension, while the growth mindset intercept unexpectedly increases suspension odds — related
• Self-management status and growth across middle school predict lower odds of having a GPA below a C and of being suspended in 9th grade, but not chronic absenteeism — a broader claim this one bears on
• Academic self-regulation in 8th grade robustly predicts both GPA and school adjustment in 9th grade — related
• Growth in self-management between 6th and 8th grade predicts being off track academically in 9th grade above and beyond 6th-grade self-management status — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• In a large urban district, 6th-grade SEL status is more frequently a significant predictor of being off track academically in 9th grade than SEL growth between 6th and 8th grade — related
• Whether students' SEL skills are stable over time, and whether initial level or change better flags later academic risk, was largely unknown before this study — related
• No SEL construct status or growth significantly predicted chronic absenteeism in 9th grade after controlling for background characteristics — related