Claims

A fixed-threshold sequential risk policy concentrated persistent-failure alerts within restricted alert budgets

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2029: tool and model accuracy changes quickly

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i? The sequential student-history policy triggered on 17.8% of test states with precision 0.566 and captured 25.2% of observed persistent failures. → Shihao Wang 2026 q2 i? At the planned 20% budget, the consecutive-failures rule captured 75 persistent failures (precision 0.676) versus 62 for the student-history policy (precision 0.559) and 66 for logistic regression (precision 0.595). → Shihao Wang 2026 (2)

Evidence

Shihao Wang 2026

Shihao Wang. (2026). A Risk-Adaptive and Evidence-Constrained Framework for Generative AI Feedback in Programming Education. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.29874 doi:10.48550/arxiv.2609.29874

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Sequential threshold replay over recorded test trajectories with a validation-fixed threshold of 0.500. "Applied to the test sequence, it triggered on 17.8% of states, with precision 0.566 and capture recall 0.252"; a more sensitive configuration reached 22.0% coverage and capture recall 0.333.

"Applied to the test sequence, it triggered on 17.8% of states, with precision 0.566 and capture recall 0.252."

Shihao Wang 2026 (2)

Shihao Wang. (2026). A Risk-Adaptive and Evidence-Constrained Framework for Generative AI Feedback in Programming Education. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.29874

q2 · i? · design · r2

Fixed-capacity policy comparison at the planned 20% budget (111 alerts) on the labeled test pool. "Logistic regression captured 66 (precision = 0.595; recall = 0.297), while consecutive failures captured 75 (precision = 0.676; recall = 0.338)"; the student-history policy captured 62 with precision 0.559.

"Logistic regression captured 66 (precision = 0.595; recall = 0.297), while consecutive failures captured 75 (precision = 0.676; recall = 0.338)."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id sequential-risk-policy-concentrates-failures
title A fixed-threshold sequential risk policy concentrated persistent-failure alerts within restricted alert budgets
description A fixed-threshold sequential risk policy concentrated persistent-failure alerts within restricted alert budgets
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2026
recheck_by 2029
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-11
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 2 — shihao-wang-2026, shihao-wang-2026-2

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