Claims

Mean struggle time before acceptance is 15.6% higher among true attrition users but does not reach statistical significance

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r1 · q2
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i? True attrition users required longer to reach Accepted verdicts (3,059 vs 2,646 minutes), but the difference was not statistically significant. → Azuad Islam Ruhan 2026

Evidence

Azuad Islam Ruhan 2026

Azuad Islam Ruhan, Golam Mostofa Naeem, Rakibul Islam Rafi, Sherin Afrin Mim, Nazira Bani Opi, Dewan Fahad Chowdhury, and Md. Rejaul Korim Sadi. (2026). Predicting Student Attrition in Competitive Programming: A Large-Scale Study Integrating Survey Insights and Global Behavioral Logs. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.28618 doi:10.48550/arxiv.2608.28618

q2 · i? · associational · r1

Same balanced Codeforces comparison of 908 active vs 908 true attrition users. The article reports the struggle-time increase as directionally consistent with the progress stagnation hypothesis but that it "does not reach statistical significance" (p= 0.213, ns); no effect size is printed.

"The 15.6% increase in mean struggle time (p= 0.213,ns) is directionally consistent with the progress stagnation hypothesis but does not reach statistical significance."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id struggle-time-increase-not-significant-cp-attrition
title Mean struggle time before acceptance is 15.6% higher among true attrition users but does not reach statistical significance
description Mean struggle time before acceptance is 15.6% higher among true attrition users but does not reach statistical significance
status review
evidence_strength weak
newest_evidence 2026
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-11
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — azuad-islam-ruhan-2026

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