About three in five students identified as high-achieving in the first year remained high-achieving in the last year of the study¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2013 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2018: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Roughly three in five students identified as high-achieving in the first year of the study remained high-achieving in the last year. → Yun Xiang 2013

Evidence¶

Yun Xiang 2013¶

Yun Xiang, Michael Dahlin, John Cronin, Robert Theaker, Sarah Durant. (2013). Do high flyers maintain their altitude? Performance trends of top students. NWEA Research white paper, Thomas B. Fordham Institute. https://www.nwea.org/research/publication/do-high-flyers-maintain-their-altitude-performance-trends-of-top-students/

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Longitudinal analysis of NWEA's growth database tracked students at or above the 90th percentile across years. The study reports that "Around three in five students identified as high-achieving in the first year of the study remained high-achieving in the last year of the study." No effect size is printed.

"Around three in five students identified as high-achieving in the first year of the study remained high-achieving in the last year of the study."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• High-achieving students who fell below the 90th percentile typically stayed at the 70th percentile or higher — related
• The study operationalized high achievement as scoring at or above the 90th percentile on the NWEA assessment — related
• Teacher expectation bias predicted Dutch secondary students' performance up to five years later, after controls for prior achievement, IQ and motivation, in one large correlational cohort study — related
• The high-flyer cohort comprised 91,643 students from more than 800 schools in 28 states — related