Among university students, poorer calibration accuracy is accompanied by lower confidence in the performance estimate, independent of performance level¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q3 · i1 small
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i1 University students' second-order judgements correlated negatively with calibration accuracy (r = -.197, p = .002): less confident students showed higher miscalibration. → Marloes L. Nederhand 2021

Evidence¶

Marloes L. Nederhand 2021¶

Marloes L. Nederhand, Huib K. Tabbers, Anique B.H. De Bruin, Remy M. J. P. Rikers. (2021). Metacognitive awareness as measured by second-order judgements among university and secondary school students. Metacognition and Learning, 16, 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-020-09228-6

q3 · i1 · associational · r2

Postdiction study of 251 second-year psychology students who estimated their educational psychology exam grade and rated confidence in the estimate on a five-point scale. Calibration was the absolute difference between estimated and actual grade; the correlation was "r = −.197, p = .002".

"Results among university students showed a significant negative correlation between subjective confidence (SOJ) and calibration accuracy r = −.197, p = .002, confirming our hypothesis."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Among secondary school students, calibration accuracy is unrelated to confidence in performance estimates across French, Math, and German exams — related
• Subjective confidence ratings did not differ between performance quartiles for university or secondary school students, failing to replicate Miller and Geraci — reports the opposite
• Students in the Reflection condition became more confident in their grade estimates over the school year, unlike students in the Practice and Grade comparison conditions — related