Computer programmer employment is projected to decline 10% from 2021 to 2031 due to automation, and apprenticeships placed in automation-vulnerable pathways risk reinforcing disparities¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 2 studies · 2 review r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2028: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment of computer programmers to decline by 10% from 2021 to 2031 due to increased automation. → bls-automation q2 i? Per the Kapor Center, companies contribute to technology industry disparities by setting up apprenticeship programs in career pathways highly at risk of displacement by automation. → kapor-apprenticeship

Evidence¶

bls-automation¶

Carter, B., Shah, Z., Tinsley, B., LeGrand-Dunn, J., Luke Luna, C. (2023, August). Understanding the supports and skills that enable successful pathways for Black learners and workers into non-four-year degree technology careers: A landscape scan. Digital Promise. https://doi.org/10.51388/20.500.12265/189

q2 · i? · review · r?

In its career pathways section, the scan reports the BLS projection that programmer employment will "decline by 10% from 2021 to 2031" as automation takes over repetitive tasks such as code formatting. This is a reported projection, not a tested effect.

"the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) states that the employment of computer programmers is projected to decline by 10% from 2021 to 2031 due to increased automation"

kapor-apprenticeship¶

Carter, B., Shah, Z., Tinsley, B., LeGrand-Dunn, J., Luke Luna, C. (2023, August). Understanding the supports and skills that enable successful pathways for Black learners and workers into non-four-year degree technology careers: A landscape scan. Digital Promise. https://doi.org/10.51388/20.500.12265/189

q2 · i? · review · r2

The scan's key idea, attributed to the Kapor Center, warns that apprenticeship programs placed in "career pathways that are highly at risk for displacement caused by automation" contribute to industry disparities, and urges sustainable, equitable post-program opportunities.

"many companies contribute to technology industry disparities by setting up apprenticeship programs within career pathways that are highly at risk for displacement caused by automation"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

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