The report's dropout and graduate percentages are calculated differently from CPS's and are therefore somewhat smaller than CPS numbers¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr1·q1
Currency · newest study 1999 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
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q1 i? The report's method compares dropouts to all eighth-grade graduates and allows five years to graduate, so its systemwide percentages are somewhat smaller than CPS's. → Shazia Rafiullah Miller 1999
Evidence¶
Shazia Rafiullah Miller 1999¶
Shazia Rafiullah Miller, Stuart Luppescu, Robert M. Gladden, John Q. Easton. (1999). How Do Barton Graduates Perform in CPS High Schools? Consortium on Chicago School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/how-do-barton-graduates-perform-cps-high-schools
q1 · i? · associational · r1
Methodological statement in the report's introduction explaining that it uses a baseline of all students graduating from eighth grade (including those who left CPS) and allows five years to graduate, whereas the board compares dropouts only to graduates and allows four years. No effect size applies.
"Therefore, our cal- culations of the percent of dropouts and graduates in the school system are some- what smaller than CPS’s numbers."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Of Barton's 81 eighth-grade graduates of 1993, 44 graduated within five years, 26 dropped out, and 10 left CPS — related
- Systemwide CPS cumulative dropout percentages rose from 8.1 to 33.1 over five years — related
- The Illinois State Board of Education's graduation-rate method overestimates graduation rates where large numbers of students transfer between schools, as in Chicago — related
- Over 40 percent of Chicago Public Schools students drop out by age 19, with a slight downward trend across the 1991–1994 cohorts — related
- Including unverified transfers as dropouts yields dropout rates about 4 percent higher at age 19 and eliminates the downward trend — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
barton-report-method-differs-from-cps-statistics |
title |
The report's dropout and graduate percentages are calculated differently from CPS's and are therefore somewhat smaller than CPS numbers |
description |
The report's dropout and graduate percentages are calculated differently from CPS's and are therefore somewhat smaller than CPS numbers |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
1999 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-08 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — shazia-rafiullah-miller-1999 |
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