Including unverified transfers as dropouts yields dropout rates about 4 percent higher at age 19 and eliminates the downward trend¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · design r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2001 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Drop-file-based rates that count unverified transfers as dropouts are about 4 percent higher at age 19 and show no downward trend over time. → Elaine Allensworth and John Q. Easton 2001

Evidence¶

Elaine Allensworth and John Q. Easton 2001¶

Elaine Allensworth and John Q. Easton. (2001). Calculating a Cohort Dropout Rate for the Chicago Public Schools: A Technical Research Report. Consortium on Chicago School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/calculating-cohort-dropout-rate-chicago-public-schools

q2 · i? · design · r2

Comparison of cohort rates computed from CPS drop files (Tables 5–6) against Master Files rates. The report treats this as a sensitivity analysis of the classification decision; no inferential statistics are printed.

"the drop files do suggest: (a) somewhat higher absolute dropout rates than those calculated with the Master Files (about 4 percent higher at age 19), and (b) no trend downward over time."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Over 40 percent of Chicago Public Schools students drop out by age 19, with a slight downward trend across the 1991–1994 cohorts — reports the opposite
• Chicago Public Schools dropout rates remained high, with over 40 percent of students dropping out by age 19 — related
• The five-year dropout rate for the first cohort fully subject to the CPS promotion policy (1995) continued the slight downward trend, but pre-age-18 patterns do not clearly indicate a change — related
• One-year dropout rates confound changing student composition and movement through high school, unlike cohort rates — related
• The report's dropout and graduate percentages are calculated differently from CPS's and are therefore somewhat smaller than CPS numbers — related