Children show marginal overconfidence in numerical judgments and underconfidence in emotion judgments¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causalr1·q3
Currency · newest study 2014 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2019: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Confidence bias differed significantly between domains, with overconfidence for number and underconfidence for emotion judgments. → Vo 2014
Evidence¶
Vo 2014¶
Vo, V. Y., Li, R., Kornell, N., Pouget, A., & Cantlon, J. F. (2014). Young Children Bet On Their Numerical Skills: Metacognition in the Numerical Domain. Psychological Science. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797614538458
q3 · i? · causal · r1
Confidence bias (average confidence minus accuracy) was +0.05 ± .046 for number and −0.08 ± .076 for emotion; the domains differed significantly (t(38) = −3.45, p = .001). One-sample tests were t(38) = 1.92, p = .059 (number) and t(38) = −2.10, p = .04 (emotion).
"Biases differed significantly between the number and emotion domains (t(38) = −3.45, p = .001), with children exhibiting marginal overconfidence in their numerical judgments and underconfidence in their emotion judgments"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Metacognitive sensitivity is domain-specific in early childhood: number-domain and emotion-domain measures are uncorrelated — related
- Children aged 5 to 8 show metacognitive sensitivity in a nonverbal wagering task, betting more on correct than incorrect discriminations — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
confidence-bias-domain-number-emotion |
title |
Children show marginal overconfidence in numerical judgments and underconfidence in emotion judgments |
description |
Children show marginal overconfidence in numerical judgments and underconfidence in emotion judgments |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2014 |
recheck_by |
2019 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-17 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — vo-2014 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.