Projected fall 2020 mathematics gains for returning students are approximately 37 to 50% of a typical school year's learning gains¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2020 · checked against its sources 2026-10-17 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2025: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Under the study's projections, students are likely to return in fall 2020 with 37-50% of the learning gains in math relative to a typical school year, a larger projected loss than in reading. → Kuhfeld 2020

Evidence¶

Kuhfeld 2020¶

Kuhfeld, M., Soland, J., Tarasawa, B., Johnson, A., Ruzek, E., & Liu, J. (2020). Projecting the potential impact of COVID-19 school closures on academic achievement. Educational Researcher, 49(8), 549–565. https://doi.org/10.3102/0013189X20965918

q2 · i? · associational · r2

The projection analysis reports students returning "with 37-50% of the learning gains in math," a lower retained share than the 63-68% projected for reading. No effect size is printed for this projection.

"students are likely to return in fall 2020 with approximately 63-68% of the learning gains in reading relative to a typical school year and with 37-50% of the learning gains in math"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Projected fall 2020 reading gains for returning students are approximately 63 to 68% of a typical school year's learning gains — related
• Students showed lower math growth in fall 2020 across grades 3-8 relative to peers in the previous, more typical year — related
• Summer learning loss patterns are used to project the potential impact of COVID-19 school closures on student academic achievement — a broader claim this one bears on
• Pandemic-period gains from fall 2019 to fall 2021 fell short of pre-pandemic growth norms — a broader claim this one bears on
• Thirty-seven percent of the Elevate Math program effect is attributable to avoidance of summer learning loss through the first half of the summer — related
• The 2020 COVID-19 school closures caused a decrease in Flemish grade 6 school-average mathematics scores of roughly 0.19 standard deviations relative to previous cohorts — related
• In almost all grades, most students made some learning gains in both reading and math since the COVID-19 pandemic started — related
• Black, AIAN, and Latinx students made 55-68% of typical math gains and 73-86% of typical reading gains during the pandemic, while Asian American students made 88-100% — related
• Projected COVID-19 learning loss was not universal, with the top third of students potentially making gains in reading — related
• Covid-19 school closures depressed student achievement on average by about 0.19 standard deviations — related