CPS class of 2020 graduates enrolled in four-year colleges at rates similar to previous cohorts (41.8% in 2019 vs. 40.8% in 2020)¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2024: local conditions change quickly
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? Immediate four-year college enrollment among CPS graduates declined by only 1 percentage point from 2019 to 2020, remaining similar to prior cohorts. → Nagaoka 2021
Evidence¶
Nagaoka 2021¶
Nagaoka, J., Mahaffie, S., Usher, A., & Seeskin, A. (2021). College during the pandemic: Immediate enrollment and retention of CPS Graduates in Fall 2020. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/nsc-iccb-technical-report
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Descriptive analysis of November 2020 National Student Clearinghouse data for CPS graduating classes 2016–20 (Figure 1). The report states the "rate of immediate enrollment in four-year college declined by 1 percentage point," with no inferential test reported.
"The rate of immediate enrollment in four-year college declined by 1 percentage point from 41.8 percent in 2019 to 40.8 percent in 2020."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Immediate college enrollment declined from 62 percent for the CPS class of 2019 to 58 percent for the class of 2020, driven more by the drop in two-year than four-year enrollment — a broader claim this one bears on
- Two-year enrollment declines were concentrated among Black and Latinx CPS graduates, while four-year rates held steady for these groups — related
- CPS graduates in four-year colleges were slightly more likely to continue from spring to fall 2020 (80.6%) than in 2019 (79.0%) — related
- Fall 2020 CPS enrollment changes showed no clear pattern by colleges' reopening models — related
- CPS class of 2020 graduates were less likely to enroll in two-year colleges (20.0% in 2019 vs. 16.4% in 2020) — related
- Two-year college enrollment rates sharply declined between 2019 and 2020 for CPS graduates in all disability categories — related
- Among the CPS class of 2022, 60.8% immediately enrolled in college; four-year enrollment recovered to pre-pandemic levels while two-year enrollment only began recovering in 2022 — related
- CPS immediate college enrollment rate outperforms the most recent national rate by 5 percentage points (66% vs. 61%) — related
- The proportion of CPS graduates enrolling immediately in college rose gradually to 63 percent by 2018, with persistent disparities by race/ethnicity and gender
- CPS class of 2024 students reached near-record highs in high school graduation (84%) and immediate college enrollment (66%), on par with national averages — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
cps-2020-four-year-enrollment-steady |
title |
CPS class of 2020 graduates enrolled in four-year colleges at rates similar to previous cohorts (41.8% in 2019 vs. 40.8% in 2020) |
description |
CPS class of 2020 graduates enrolled in four-year colleges at rates similar to previous cohorts (41.8% in 2019 vs. |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2021 |
recheck_by |
2024 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — nagaoka-2021 |
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