Fall 2020 CPS enrollment changes showed no clear pattern by colleges' reopening models¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2021 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2024: local conditions change quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Across the top 15 four-year colleges enrolling CPS graduates, enrollment changes from 2019 to 2020 showed no clear pattern according to fall reopening models (fully online, primarily online, hybrid, primarily in-person). → Nagaoka 2021

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2021¶

Nagaoka, J., Mahaffie, S., Usher, A., & Seeskin, A. (2021). College during the pandemic: Immediate enrollment and retention of CPS Graduates in Fall 2020. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/nsc-iccb-technical-report

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive comparison of enrollment changes at the top 15 four-year colleges by 2019 enrollment size, cross-tabulated with reopening status collected by the College Crisis Initiative at Davidson College (Table 5 takeaways).

"There was no clear pattern of enrollment according to schools’ reopening models (though all of these colleges did offer some online component)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Immediate college enrollment among 2021 CPS graduates was 58.6%, with four-year enrollment recovering to pre-pandemic levels while two-year enrollment fell to 15.6% — related
• CPS class of 2020 graduates enrolled in four-year colleges at rates similar to previous cohorts (41.8% in 2019 vs. 40.8% in 2020) — related
• CPS graduates in four-year colleges were slightly more likely to continue from spring to fall 2020 (80.6%) than in 2019 (79.0%) — related
• Two-year enrollment declines were concentrated among Black and Latinx CPS graduates, while four-year rates held steady for these groups — related
• Immediate college enrollment declined from 62 percent for the CPS class of 2019 to 58 percent for the class of 2020, driven more by the drop in two-year than four-year enrollment — related
• CPS class of 2020 graduates were less likely to enroll in two-year colleges (20.0% in 2019 vs. 16.4% in 2020) — related
• Latinx two-year college students' spring-to-fall return rates declined most among race/ethnicity and gender groups in 2020
• Two-year college retention of CPS first-year students continued to decline in 2020 (66.4% in 2019 vs. 61.9% in 2020)