CPS four-year high school graduation rose to 84.0% in 2022, the highest rate in recent history, after a slight pandemic-related decline in 2021¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2026: local conditions change quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Among 2018–19 first-time ninth-graders, 84.0% graduated from high school by spring 2022, an increase of over 2 percentage points from 81.8% in 2021, and the rate has steadily increased over the past decade aside from the 2021 decline. → Usher 2023

Evidence¶

Usher 2023¶

Usher, A., Mahaffie, S., & Nagaoka, J. (2023). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2022. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool/cps/

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Cohort analysis of all CPS high school students, including charter and Options school students, counting graduates who completed high school within four years of their first-time ninth-grade year. The 2022 rate of 84.0% is described as "the highest rate in recent history," having risen from 72.5% in 2012 aside from a slight decline in 2021.

"The high school graduation rate of CPS students increased by over 2 percentage points, from 81.8% in 2021 to 84.0% in 2022."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• CPS's four-year high school graduation rate declined for the first time in recent history in 2021, from 83.3% to 81.8% — related
• Nearly one in five recent CPS ninth-graders were ever enrolled in an Options school, and their six-year graduation rate improved about 5 percentage points but remained below 50 percent — related
• CPS's four-year high school graduation rate reached a record 85.0% in 2023, up about one percentage point from 84.1% in 2022 — related
• Graduation rates declined by about four percentage points in the first policy year and one more the next, then recovered to nearly pre-policy levels within five years — related
• At UCLA Community School, the share of graduates meeting UC/CSU A-G course requirements rose to 81% in 2021 and the 4-year graduation rate grew from 69% in 2012 to 90% in 2022 — related
• Illinois's universal FAFSA policy produced a mixed first-year result: submissions rose 0.8% while completions fell 0.2% — related
• University High's 4-year graduation rate rose from 36% in 2022 to 55% in 2023 and was maintained in 2024 — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• The four-year CPS high school graduation rate rose from 62.3 percent for the 2008 cohort to an all-time high of 83.2 percent for the 2020 cohort — related
• Peñasco's high school graduation rate rose above 90% versus 76% statewide, and K-2 students outpaced state peers on formative assessments — related