Graduation rates declined by about four percentage points in the first policy year and one more the next, then recovered to nearly pre-policy levels within five years¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causalr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2010 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
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Reading the evidence codes
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q3 i? Graduation rates declined four percentage points in the first year of the policy and another percentage point the next year, after adjusting for student backgrounds and prior achievement, before recovering. → Montgomery 2010
Evidence¶
Montgomery 2010¶
Montgomery, N., & Allensworth, E. M., with Correa, M. (2010). Passing Through Science: The Effects of Raising Graduation Requirements in Science on Course-Taking and Academic Achievement in Chicago. Consortium on Chicago School Research at the University of Chicago. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/passing-through-science-effects-raising-graduation-requirements-science-course-taking
q3 · i? · causal · r2
Cohort comparison of administrative graduation records across successive ninth-grade entry cohorts, with statistical controls for incoming student characteristics. The decline was temporary, recovering almost to pre-policy levels within five years.
"They declined by four percentage points in the first year of the policy and another percentage point in the next year, after accounting for changes in the backgrounds and prior achievement of students entering CPS high schools. Three years after the policy change, however, graduation rates began recovering; the rates were almost at pre-policy levels after five years."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- CPS four-year high school graduation rose to 84.0% in 2022, the highest rate in recent history, after a slight pandemic-related decline in 2021 — related
- Nearly one in five recent CPS ninth-graders were ever enrolled in an Options school, and their six-year graduation rate improved about 5 percentage points but remained below 50 percent — related
- Suspensions in California lowered graduation rates by nearly 7 percentage points after controlling for other dropout factors — related
- The CHSRI graduation advantage was concentrated among students least likely to graduate, exceeding six percentage points in the lowest stratum versus about two in the highest — related
- CPS's four-year high school graduation rate reached a record 85.0% in 2023, up about one percentage point from 84.1% in 2022 — related
- The requirement structure decreased the percentage of graduates completing both chemistry and physics, because mandated earth or environmental science pushed the combination into a fourth year — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
cps-graduation-rates-declined-then-recovered |
title |
Graduation rates declined by about four percentage points in the first policy year and one more the next, then recovered to nearly pre-policy levels within five years |
description |
Graduation rates declined by about four percentage points in the first policy year and one more the next, then recovered to nearly pre-policy levels within five years |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2010 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — montgomery-2010 |
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