Undermatch among CPS four-year college-goers rose from 42.7 percent in 2003 to 57.7 percent in 2013 before rebounding after 2013¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2018 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Between 2003 and 2013, the share of CPS college-goers undermatching increased, then match rates rose for all selectivity levels after 2013. → Roderick 2018

Evidence¶

Roderick 2018¶

Roderick, M., Holsapple, M., Clark, K., & Kelley-Kemple, T. (2018). From High School to the Future: Delivering on the Dream of College Graduation. University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/high-school-future-delivering-dream-college-graduation

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Trend analysis of CPS graduates 2003-2013 (n=119,550 two- and four-year college-goers): undermatch rose from 42.7 percent to 57.7 percent; of 3,812 two-year college attendees in 2013, 74 percent had qualifications for a four-year college. Match rates rebounded after 2013, reaching 32 percent for selective-access students by 2015.

"In 2003, 42.7 percent of CPS four-year college-goers undermatched in their college choice; by 2013, that undermatching had risen to 57.7 percent of college-goers."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• College undermatch is widespread among CPS students at all qualification levels, with only 27 percent of selective-access graduates matching — related
• Undermatch occurs when students attend a college less selective than their high school academic achievement would allow — related
• CPS two-year enrollment rose modestly between 2006 and 2015 but declined as a share of college-going while four-year enrollment climbed after 2013 — related