Claims

Stronger positive emotions are associated with more overconfident predictions, and stronger negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) with more underconfident predictions

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q3 · i1 small
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q3 i1 With increasing positive emotions, participants' predictions became more overconfident; with increasing negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness), predictions became more underconfident (small correlations). → Prinz-Weiß 2023

Evidence

Prinz-Weiß 2023

Prinz-Weiß, A., Lukosiute, L., Meyer, M., & Riedel, J. (2023). The role of achievement emotions for text comprehension and metacomprehension. Metacognition and Learning. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-022-09331-w

q3 · i1 · associational · r2

Correlational analyses (N = 358) of prediction accuracy as bias: positive emotions (enjoyment, hope, pride, positive overall) correlated positively and negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) negatively with prediction accuracy (e.g., shame r = -.18); anger, boredom, and negative emotions overall were exceptions (the latter marginally significant).

"Although the correlations were of rather small size, this means that in line with the prediction-accuracy hypothesis, with increasing positive emotions, participants' predictions became more overconfident (trajectory from underconfidence to overconfidence)."

Discussion

Learner Variables

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id emotions-prediction-accuracy-over-underconfidence
title Stronger positive emotions are associated with more overconfident predictions, and stronger negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) with more underconfident predictions
description Stronger positive emotions are associated with more overconfident predictions, and stronger negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) with more underconfident predictions
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2023
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-19
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — prinz-weiß-2023

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