Stronger positive emotions are associated with more overconfident predictions, and stronger negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) with more underconfident predictions¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q3·i1small
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i1 With increasing positive emotions, participants' predictions became more overconfident; with increasing negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness), predictions became more underconfident (small correlations). → Prinz-Weiß 2023
Evidence¶
Prinz-Weiß 2023¶
Prinz-Weiß, A., Lukosiute, L., Meyer, M., & Riedel, J. (2023). The role of achievement emotions for text comprehension and metacomprehension. Metacognition and Learning. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-022-09331-w
q3 · i1 · associational · r2
Correlational analyses (N = 358) of prediction accuracy as bias: positive emotions (enjoyment, hope, pride, positive overall) correlated positively and negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) negatively with prediction accuracy (e.g., shame r = -.18); anger, boredom, and negative emotions overall were exceptions (the latter marginally significant).
"Although the correlations were of rather small size, this means that in line with the prediction-accuracy hypothesis, with increasing positive emotions, participants' predictions became more overconfident (trajectory from underconfidence to overconfidence)."
Discussion¶
Learner Variables¶
- Achievement Emotions — predictor: learners who differ on it differ in outcomes
Related Claims¶
- Three emotion profiles (positive, neutral, negative) differ in prediction and postdiction magnitude and accuracy, with the positive group most overconfident in predictions and least underconfident in postdictions — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- Students also use achievement emotions as cues when making postdictions about their comprehension — related
- Students use positive and negative achievement emotions as cues when making predictions about their comprehension — related
- Stronger positive emotions are associated with less underconfident postdictions, and anxiety and shame with more underconfident postdictions — related
- Greater anger, hopelessness, and negative emotions overall during reading are associated with poorer text comprehension, while positive emotions show no relation — related
- Negative normative feedback lowered math performance indirectly via reduced hope — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
emotions-prediction-accuracy-over-underconfidence |
title |
Stronger positive emotions are associated with more overconfident predictions, and stronger negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) with more underconfident predictions |
description |
Stronger positive emotions are associated with more overconfident predictions, and stronger negative emotions (anxiety, shame, hopelessness) with more underconfident predictions |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2023 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-19 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — prinz-weiß-2023 |
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