At the school level, domain-identical pretests show exceptional prognostic power from grade 5 onward, but are weaker predictors at the student and classroom levels across the school career¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · quant-synthesisr2·q3
Currency · newest study 2024 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2027: tool and model accuracy changes quickly
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Multilevel results show IP explained 98% of between-school variance in lower secondary and 78% in upper secondary school, while remaining a weaker predictor at L1 and L2 in all grades. → Stallasch 2024
Evidence¶
Stallasch 2024¶
Stallasch, S. E., Lüdtke, O., Artelt, C., Hedges, L. V., & Brunner, M. (2024). Single- and Multilevel Perspectives on Covariate Selection in Randomized Intervention Studies on Student Achievement. Educational Psychology Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10648-024-09898-7
q3 · i? · quant-synthesis · r2
Multilevel (three-level in grades 1-10, two-level in grades 11-12) design parameters meta-analyzed across the six German samples for the total student population, showing level-specific prognostic strength of IP.
"From grade 5 on, IP was the strongest of all covariate types and showed exceptional prognostic properties at L3, where 98/78% of variance was explained in lower/upper secondary school. Across the entire school career, however, IP turned out to be a weaker predictor at both L1 and L2."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- The prognostic power of domain-identical pretests degrades with longer pre-posttest time lags, most strongly at the student level — related
- Sociodemographic covariates outweigh domain-identical pretests for predicting between-classroom and between-school variance in elementary school — related
- Domain-identical pretests are the most powerful single-level covariate type for student achievement, outperforming cross-domain pretests, fluid intelligence, and sociodemographic characteristics — related
- Combining domain-identical pretests with cross-domain pretests, fluid intelligence, and/or sociodemographic covariates yields only small incremental gains in explained achievement variance — related
- Within-school variation in baseline achievement is greater in middle school grades, but upper elementary grades show an offsetting amount of between-school variation — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
ip-exceptional-school-level-prediction-secondary |
title |
At the school level, domain-identical pretests show exceptional prognostic power from grade 5 onward, but are weaker predictors at the student and classroom levels across the school career |
description |
At the school level, domain-identical pretests show exceptional prognostic power from grade 5 onward, but are weaker predictors at the student and classroom levels across the school career |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2024 |
recheck_by |
2027 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-19 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — stallasch-2024 |
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