In both analysis years and all tested grades, EL students reach a 50 percent chance of SBAC ELA proficiency within ELPAC overall PL 4¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr3·q2
Currency · newest study 2026 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? Logistic regression analyses in both 2018-19 and 2023-24 found students reach a 50 percent chance of proficiency on the SBAC ELA within ELPAC overall PL 4 in all grades. → Faulkner-Bond 2026
Evidence¶
Faulkner-Bond 2026¶
Faulkner-Bond, M. (2026). Finding the sweet spot for English Learner reclassification: A study of California's criteria. WestEd. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED681359
q2 · i? · associational · r3
Logistic regression method estimating probability of reaching Level 3 (Standard Met) on the SBAC ELA for each ELPAC overall scale score, applied to grades 3-8 and 11 in both the 2018-19 and 2023-24 analyses. The report finds students "reach a 50 percent chance of proficiency on the SBAC ELA in ELPAC overall PL 4."
"In both years and all grades, students reach a 50 percent chance of proficiency on the SBAC ELA in ELPAC overall PL 4."
Discussion¶
Learner Variables¶
- English-Learner Status — predictor: learners who differ on it differ in outcomes
Related Claims¶
- Decision consistency between the ELPAC and SBAC ELA is highest at ELPAC overall PL 4 in all grades and both analysis years — related
- ELPAC overall Performance Level 4 is the most robust indicator that language is no longer the primary driver of academic achievement differences among California's reclassification criteria — a broader claim this one bears on
- ELPAC overall PL 4 remains the appropriate Criterion 1 reclassification threshold, with 2017-18 and 2022-23 data converging on the same level — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- ELPAC overall PL 4 students who exit EL status show minimal or no achievement differences one year later compared with those who remain, after controlling for SES — related
- English Learner students at ELPAC PL 4 perform as well as, or better than, matched English-only peers on the state English language arts achievement test — related
- Logistic regression can identify the ELP score at which students have a probability of 0.5 of being proficient on the academic content assessment, as a candidate English-proficient standard — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- Students who meet Criterion 1 achieve at the same level whether they remain in EL status or exit, suggesting retention in EL status after proficiency provides no clear academic benefit — related
- English Learners' initial ELP level influences the expected time frame for attaining the English-proficient criterion, supporting refined time-to-proficiency criteria — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
logistic-regression-50-percent-proficiency-pl4 |
title |
In both analysis years and all tested grades, EL students reach a 50 percent chance of SBAC ELA proficiency within ELPAC overall PL 4 |
description |
In both analysis years and all tested grades, EL students reach a 50 percent chance of SBAC ELA proficiency within ELPAC overall PL 4 |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2026 |
source_checked |
2026-10-20 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — faulkner-bond-2026 |
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