In simulation, the mean-recall approximation matches the clocked-delay Leitner Queue Network for small arrival rates, and its phase-transition threshold appears to be a conservative lower bound.¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · causalr2·q1
Currency · newest study 2016 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2019: tool and model accuracy changes quickly
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q1 i? Simulations of 500 reviews over 50 items show the mean-recall approximation performs well for small arrival rates. → Reddy 2016
q1 i? The threshold predicted under the approximation appears to be a lower bound for the true phase transition point in review sessions of moderate length. → Reddy 2016 (2)
Evidence¶
Reddy 2016¶
Reddy, S., Labutov, I., Banerjee, S., & Joachims, T. (2016). Unbounded Human Learning: Optimal Scheduling for Spaced Repetition. KDD ’16, San Francisco, CA, USA. https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939850
q1 · i? · theoretical · r3
Simulation comparing the mean-recall approximation with clocked delays (Fig. 6). "the mean-recall approximation performs well for small values of λext".
"Fig. 6 verifies our intuition that the mean-recall approximation performs well for small values of λext."
Reddy 2016 (2)¶
Reddy, S., Labutov, I., Banerjee, S., & Joachims, T. (2016). Unbounded Human Learning: Optimal Scheduling for Spaced Repetition. KDD ’16, San Francisco, CA, USA. https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939850
q1 · i? · causal · r2
Simulation of the clocked-delay network (Fig. 5) against the approximation's threshold, which "appears to be a lower bound (i.e., a conservative estimate)" for moderate-length sessions.
"The dotted line indicates the phase transition threshold obtained under our mean-recall approximation (Eqn. 4), which appears to be a lower bound (i.e., a conservative estimate) for the true phase transition point for review sessions of moderate length."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Under the mean-recall approximation, the maximum achievable learning rate is convex in the learner's review frequency budget, suggesting increasing returns at lower budgets. — related
- Under the Leitner Queue Network model, raising the rate of new-item introduction beyond a threshold causes a phase transition in learning rate, which a Mechanical Turk vocabulary experiment reproduced. — related
- In a Mechanical Turk flashcard experiment, raising the new-item arrival rate first increases mastered items, but past the optimum fewer items are mastered and more get stuck in deck 1. — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
mean-recall-approximation-matches-clocked-delay-simulation-at-low-arrival-rates |
title |
In simulation, the mean-recall approximation matches the clocked-delay Leitner Queue Network for small arrival rates, and its phase-transition threshold appears to be a conservative lower bound. |
description |
In simulation, the mean-recall approximation matches the clocked-delay Leitner Queue Network for small arrival rates, and its phase-transition threshold appears to be a conservative lower bound. |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2016 |
recheck_by |
2019 |
generated |
by claude/unspecified on 2026-09-24 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
2 — reddy-2016, reddy-2016-2 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.