The pandemic had a slight positive average effect (+0.011 levels) on ninth-grade track level, unlike the negative effects on earlier outcomes¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causal r2 · q3
Currency · newest study 2024 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i? The estimated pandemic effect on ninth-grade track level was +0.011 levels, statistically significant, while the effect was zero for the most disadvantaged group. → van de Werfhorst 2024

Evidence¶

van de Werfhorst 2024¶

van de Werfhorst, H. G., Zwier, D., Geven, S., Bol, T. & Haelermans, C. (2024). Inequality in pandemic effects on school track placement and the role of social and academic embeddedness. npj Science of Learning 9:71. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41539-024-00283-1

q3 · i? · causal · r2

Counterfactual cohort comparison on ninth-grade track level (three main tracks) in Dutch register data. The authors note the average primary school performance of students in the pre-university track went down between cohorts, explaining the positive effect when comparing students with equal performance levels.

"the pandemic has as l i g h tp o s i t i v ee f f e c t ons t u d e n t s' ninth-grade track enrollment."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• The COVID-19 pandemic had small but statistically significant negative average effects on Dutch students' track recommendation (-0.068 levels) and seventh-grade track enrollment (-0.039 levels) — related
• The pandemic's adverse effects on track recommendation and seventh-grade enrollment were largest for socioeconomically disadvantaged students, enlarging existing inequalities — related