In Experiment 2, making metacognitive predictions alone did not improve calibration, performance feedback was sufficient, and explicit metacognitive feedback added no significant benefit¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causalr3·q3·i2medium
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i2 The key transition in absolute metacognitive bias occurred between the prediction-only group and the prediction-plus-performance-feedback group; adding metacognitive feedback produced no further significant reduction. → Ceri Ngai and Sam J. Gilbert 2026
Evidence¶
Ceri Ngai and Sam J. Gilbert 2026¶
Ceri Ngai and Sam J. Gilbert (2026). Metacognitive training facilitates optimal cognitive offloading. Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-026-00714-0
q3 · i2 · causal · r3
Pairwise one-tailed t-tests across the additive four-group design in Experiment 2 (N = 416). Significant reductions appeared for Group 1 versus Group 3 (d = 0.47), Group 2 versus Group 3 (d = 0.60), and Group 2 versus Group 4 (d = 0.51); Group 1 versus Group 2 and Group 3 versus Group 4 were not significant.
"Second, making metacognitive predictions alone did not significantly improve metacognitive calibration (Group 1 versus Group 2). Third, although performance feedback was sufficient to improve metacognitive calibration (Group 3 versus Group 2), metacognitive feedback (i.e. explicitly highlighting over- or underconfidence) did not lead to any significant additional effect (Group 4 versus Group 3)."
Discussion¶
Learner Variables¶
- Self-Regulation — outcome: instruction changes it
Related Claims¶
- Self Assessment Accuracy Is Low Without Training — the general claim this finding bears on, with the studies behind it
- In Experiment 2, absolute metacognitive bias decreased linearly across the four additive intervention groups, and the full intervention group was significantly less biased than control — related
- In Experiment 1, the feedback group showed significantly lower absolute (unsigned) metacognitive bias than the no-feedback group at both pre-task and post-task — related
- In one 2×2 experiment with 120 undergraduates, an Assessment-Performance Calibration Activity (APCA) gave the most accurate self-assessment and least overconfidence, and adding a feedback-literacy script did not improve calibration further — related
- In Experiment 2, signed metacognitive bias scores showed no significant group effect or linear trend, failing to replicate the Experiment 1 signed-bias finding — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
prediction-alone-ineffective-performance-feedback-sufficient |
title |
In Experiment 2, making metacognitive predictions alone did not improve calibration, performance feedback was sufficient, and explicit metacognitive feedback added no significant benefit |
description |
In Experiment 2, making metacognitive predictions alone did not improve calibration, performance feedback was sufficient, and explicit metacognitive feedback added no significant benefit |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2026 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-11 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — ceri-ngai-and-sam-j-gilbert-2026 |
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