Sector persistence rates for fall 2015 entrants: 81.7 percent at four-year public, 84.9 percent at four-year private, 62.7 percent at two-year public, and 55.7 percent at four-year for-profit institutions¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2022: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? Fall 2015 persistence rates were 81.7 percent (four-year public), 84.9 percent (four-year private), 62.7 percent (two-year public), and 55.7 percent (four-year for-profit). → First-Year Persistence and Retention 2017
q2 i? Within each sector, full-time entrants persisted at higher rates than part-time entrants (e.g., 88.4 vs. 64.8 percent in four-year public; 70.2 vs. 56.9 percent in two-year public). → First-Year Persistence and Retention 2017 (2)
Evidence¶
First-Year Persistence and Retention 2017¶
First-Year Persistence and Retention. (2017). National Student Clearinghouse Snapshot Report. https://nscresearchcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/NSC_SnapshotReport28_PersistenceRetention_Data_Tables.xlsx
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Descriptive sector-level analysis of the fall 2015 entering cohort (Figures 4, 6, 8, 10). The report prints persistence rates for each sector and retention rates of 69.7 percent (four-year public), 49.1 percent (two-year public), 74.7 percent (four-year private), and 50.3 percent (four-year for-profit).
"For students who started college in fall 20 1 5 at four-year public institutions, the persistence rate was 8 1.7 percent, down 0.5 percentage points from the prior year, and down 0.6 percentage points in comparison to the fall 2009 cohort."
First-Year Persistence and Retention 2017 (2)¶
First-Year Persistence and Retention. (2017). National Student Clearinghouse Snapshot Report. https://nscresearchcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/NSC_SnapshotReport28_PersistenceRetention_Data_Tables.xlsx
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Descriptive comparison of enrollment intensity within the four-year public sector (Figure 4); parallel full-time/part-time contrasts are printed for the other sectors. No inferential statistics are reported.
"The persistence rate was 88.4 percent for those who entered college on a full-time basis, compared to 64.8 percent for those who entered college on a part-time basis."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- First-year persistence declines with age at entry: 78.2 percent for students 20 and under, 57.8 percent for ages over 20 to 24, and 52.7 percent for students over 24
- Among fall 2015 entrants, Asian students had the highest persistence rate (84.2 percent) and Black students the lowest (66.9 percent)
- In two-year public institutions, white students had a lower retention rate (50.2 percent) than Hispanic students (55.1 percent) because a higher share of white students transferred to four-year institutions
- In four-year private institutions, white and Asian students had nearly identical persistence rates (89.8 and 89.6 percent), but Asian students were more likely to continue at their starting institution (82.5 percent) — related
- On average, the overall persistence rate is about 13 percentage points higher than the retention rate, meaning nearly one in eight starting students transfer by the following fall — related
- Of students who started college in fall 2015, 73.4 percent persisted at any U.S. institution and 61.1 percent were retained at their starting institution in fall 2016 — a broader claim this one bears on
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
sector-persistence-rates-fall-2015-four-sector-comparison |
title |
Sector persistence rates for fall 2015 entrants: 81.7 percent at four-year public, 84.9 percent at four-year private, 62.7 percent at two-year public, and 55.7 percent at four-year for-profit institutions |
description |
Sector persistence rates for fall 2015 entrants: 81.7 percent at four-year public, 84.9 percent at four-year private, 62.7 percent at two-year public, and 55.7 percent at four-year for-profit institutions |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2017 |
recheck_by |
2022 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-16 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
2 — first-year-persistence-and-retention-2017, first-year-persistence-and-retention-2017-2 |
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