Claims

Self-efficacy judgments correspond less well to behavior in learning settings than in performance settings

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · review r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 1996 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Evidence quality · No study behind this claim is a peer-reviewed article with a DOI: it rests on an ERIC document (a report, conference paper or thesis). It is kept because a design page cites it; treat it as a lead to check, not an established finding.

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i? A review reports that agreement between efficacy judgments and behavior ranged from 84-92 percent in snake-phobic performance research but only 51-85 percent in arithmetic skill acquisition studies. → Schunk 1996

Evidence

Schunk 1996

Schunk, D. H. (1996). Self-Efficacy for Learning and Performance. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED394663

q2 · narrative review reporting earlier studies second-hand · i? · no effect size printed; the entry gives agreement percentages only (84–92% in phobic performance research, 51–85% in two arithmetic skill-acquisition studies), with no test of the difference · review · r2

Accuracy of self-appraisal section comparing Bandura's phobic research (84-92 percent agreement) with two arithmetic skill studies (Bandura & Schunk, 1981; Schunk, 1981) where correspondence at the individual task level ranged from 51-85 percent. Pajares and Miller (1994) found most students displayed some overconfidence.

"This research yielded very high percentages of agreement between efficacy and actual behavior (range = 84 92 percent)"

Studies bearing on this claim

Does a gain in reported confidence mean a gain in skill? This table gathers the studies behind this claim and the 7 narrower claims that bear on it: 8 distinct studies (2 review, 2 causal, 2 qualitative, 1 associational, 1 design), q2–q3, 0 of 8 with an effect size coded. One row per study, codes as each entry records them; no effect is averaged and no verdict is drawn. Built by scripts/synthesize_claim.py from eval/synthesis/; a row that looks wrong is fixed on the claim it comes from.

Study Design Effect as recorded Bears on this claim through
Schunk 1996 q2 · review · r2 i? this claim
Bellhäuser 2022 q3 · causal · r2 i? Web-based SRL training combined with a learning diary (Group TD) produced statistically si (supports)
Yifan Liu 2026 q2 · review · r2 i? AI literacy instruction widened a confidence-knowledge gap: students' perceived understand (supports)
Chiara Marcoccia 2026 q3 · causal · r3 i? Access to AI advice roughly doubled reported confidence in answers in one experiment (supports)
Nicolas Rodriguez-Alvarez 2026 q2 · associational · r1 i? Secondary students report near-maximum confidence in passive digital tasks but sharply low (qualifies)
expectancy-1 q2 · qualitative · r3 i? Some students described confidence in programming that depended on AI being available (qualifies)
Esposito 2026 q2 · design · r2 i? LLMs simulating survey respondents under AI-assistant instructions report higher mathemati (supports)
Liu 2026 q2 · qualitative · r3 i? AI-section students showed tool-linked self-efficacy and attenuated metacognitive calibrat (supports)

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id self-efficacy-accuracy-lower-in-learning-settings
title Self-efficacy judgments correspond less well to behavior in learning settings than in performance settings
description Self-efficacy judgments correspond less well to behavior in learning settings than in performance settings
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 1996
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-09-25
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — schunk-1996

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