Serial order STM at Age 4 predicts later nonverbal reasoning, but serial order STM gain does not predict nonverbal reasoning gain¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associationalr2·q3·i0negligible
Currency · newest study 2010 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i? Serial order reconstruction performance at Age 4 predicted 10% of independent variance in Raven's matrices scores at Age 5 after controls, while nonword repetition did not independently predict later Raven's scores. → Leclercq 2010
q3 i0 Performance increase in serial order STM did not predict performance increase in nonverbal intelligence between Age 4 and Age 5 after control of vocabulary increase (r = .07, p = .67). → Leclercq 2010 (2)
Evidence¶
Leclercq 2010¶
Leclercq, A.-L., & Majerus, S. (2010). Serial Order Short-Term Memory Predicts Vocabulary Development: Evidence from a Longitudinal Study. Developmental Psychology. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0018540
q3 · i? · associational · r2
Regression predicting Age 5 Raven's Coloured Progressive Matrices from Age 4 STM measures in the same longitudinal cohort; serial order STM predicted "10% of independent variance" while nonword repetition did not.
"However, serial order reconstruction performance at Age 4 remained a significant predictor of Raven's matrices scores one year later, predicting 10% of independent variance, after control of initial differences in age, vocabulary knowledge, Raven's matrices scores, and nonword delayed repetition performance."
Leclercq 2010 (2)¶
Leclercq, A.-L., & Majerus, S. (2010). Serial Order Short-Term Memory Predicts Vocabulary Development: Evidence from a Longitudinal Study. Developmental Psychology. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0018540
q3 · i0 · associational · r2
Difference-score partial correlation for the nonverbal reasoning outcome; the gain-gain association was "r = .07, p = .67", which the authors contrast with the robust vocabulary association.
"Nevertheless, performance increase in the serial order STM task did not predict performance increase in the nonverbal intelligence task between Age 4 and Age 5 after control of vocabulary increase (r = .07, p = .67)."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Growth in serial order STM from Age 4 to Age 5 predicts growth in vocabulary, whereas growth in item STM does not
- Serial order STM at Age 4 predicts vocabulary knowledge at Age 5 over and above initial vocabulary, item STM, age and nonverbal reasoning
- Serial order STM shows raw concurrent and longitudinal correlations with vocabulary at both ages
- Vocabulary knowledge at Age 4 does not predict serial order STM development at Age 5 once initial age, nonverbal reasoning and serial order STM are controlled
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
serial-order-stm-predicts-nonverbal-reasoning |
title |
Serial order STM at Age 4 predicts later nonverbal reasoning, but serial order STM gain does not predict nonverbal reasoning gain |
description |
Serial order STM at Age 4 predicts later nonverbal reasoning, but serial order STM gain does not predict nonverbal reasoning gain |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2010 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-16 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
2 — leclercq-2010, leclercq-2010-2 |
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