Claims

Secondary school students overestimate their performance on learning tasks by about one step out of five

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r1 · q2 · i3 large
Currency · newest study 2018 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2023: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims

Reading the evidence codes

q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.

This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.

q2 i3 Median self-assessment accuracy was -1 step: the difference between actual performance scores and performance estimates was significant, z = -2.70, p = .01, r = -0.49. → Nugteren 2018

Evidence

Nugteren 2018

Nugteren, M. L., Jarodzka, H., Kester, L., & Van Merriënboer, J. J. G. (2018). Self-regulation of secondary school students: self-assessments are inaccurate and insufficiently used for learning-task selection. Instructional Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11251-018-9448-2

q2 · i3 · associational · r1

In the explorative experiment (N = 15), median performance was 2.63 steps correct while the median performance estimate was 3.63 steps, so participants on average overestimated by one step out of five; the Wilcoxon test gave "z =- 2.70, p = .01, r =- 0.49", a large printed effect size.

"This difference between the actual performance scores and the performance estimates was significant, z =- 2.70, p = .01, r =- 0.49."

Discussion

Page metadata
Field Value
type claim
id students-overestimate-task-performance
title Secondary school students overestimate their performance on learning tasks by about one step out of five
description Secondary school students overestimate their performance on learning tasks by about one step out of five
status review
evidence_strength moderate
newest_evidence 2018
recheck_by 2023
generated by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-18
trust unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content
sources 1 — nugteren-2018

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