Secondary school students overestimate their performance on learning tasks by about one step out of five¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr1·q2·i3large
Currency · newest study 2018 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2023: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i3 Median self-assessment accuracy was -1 step: the difference between actual performance scores and performance estimates was significant, z = -2.70, p = .01, r = -0.49. → Nugteren 2018
Evidence¶
Nugteren 2018¶
Nugteren, M. L., Jarodzka, H., Kester, L., & Van Merriënboer, J. J. G. (2018). Self-regulation of secondary school students: self-assessments are inaccurate and insufficiently used for learning-task selection. Instructional Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11251-018-9448-2
q2 · i3 · associational · r1
In the explorative experiment (N = 15), median performance was 2.63 steps correct while the median performance estimate was 3.63 steps, so participants on average overestimated by one step out of five; the Wilcoxon test gave "z =- 2.70, p = .01, r =- 0.49", a large printed effect size.
"This difference between the actual performance scores and the performance estimates was significant, z =- 2.70, p = .01, r =- 0.49."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Self-assessment accuracy and estimated performance change do not improve over repeated task selections within a single session — related
- Self Assessment Accuracy Is Low Without Training — related
- Secondary school students selecting tasks without guidance base most selections on content and rarely on difficulty or support level — related
- Judgments of learning add no new self-assessment information beyond performance estimates for single tasks — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
students-overestimate-task-performance |
title |
Secondary school students overestimate their performance on learning tasks by about one step out of five |
description |
Secondary school students overestimate their performance on learning tasks by about one step out of five |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2018 |
recheck_by |
2023 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-18 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — nugteren-2018 |
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