Data coding issues could account for some graduation-rate improvement between 2005 and 2008, but not for improvements in subsequent years¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r3 · q2
Currency · newest study 2016 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Increases in students coded as transfers (13 to 18 percent, 2003–2008) could potentially explain the 3-point graduation rise in those years, but transfer rates dropped to 14 percent by 2014, so recent gains cannot come from transfer miscoding. → Allensworth 2016

Evidence¶

Allensworth 2016¶

Allensworth, E.M., Healey, K., Gwynne, J.A., & Crespin, R. (2016). High school graduation rates through two decades of district change: The influence of policies, data records, and demographic shifts. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://www.cps.edu/SchoolData/Pages/SchoolData.aspx

q2 · i? · associational · r3

Analysis of transfer-rate trends and conservative rate estimates counting all transfers and alternative diploma recipients as non-graduates. Even under the most conservative estimation, nearly a 20 percentage point increase in diploma earning remains.

"During the last four years, transfer rates have dropped each year, with 14 percent of students transferring from the 2014 cohort, compared to 18 percent in 2010. Thus, the most recent rise in graduation rates could not have come from coding more students as transfers than in the past."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

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