Districts' prior-year teacher turnover was negatively associated with certification rates, and certification rates tend to be higher where beginning teacher salaries are higher¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr3·q2
Currency · newest study 2026 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2031: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? Districts' teacher turnover in the previous year was negatively associated with certification rates, and certification rates tend to be higher in districts with higher beginning teacher salaries after accounting for other district characteristics. → Patrick 2026
Evidence¶
Patrick 2026¶
Patrick, S. K., Higginbotham, C., Saunders, R., Tan, T. S., & Wojcikiewicz, S. (2026). Teacher certification in Texas: District strategies to recruit and retain a credentialed workforce. Learning Policy Institute. https://doi.org/10.54300/301.563
q2 · i? · associational · r3
Regression analysis of district-level data reported in the section on supporting and retaining new teachers. A second printed statement notes "certification rates tend to be higher in districts with higher beginning teacher salaries, once accounting for other district characteristics." Interviewed leaders emphasized retention, with one stating "our best recruiting method is going to be retention."
"The quantitative analysis reinforced this finding, with districts’ teacher turnover in the previous year negatively associated with certification rates."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- After accounting for teacher and school characteristics, each $1,000 increase in cost-of-living-adjusted salary is associated with about a 0.34 percentage-point decrease in turnover probability — related
- Teacher salaries influence entry, supply, and retention in teaching — a broader claim this one bears on
- In 2017, the cost-of-living-adjusted starting teacher salary was higher in rural Utah districts, but the average scheduled teacher salary was lower in rural than non-rural districts — related
- Michigan's inflation-adjusted teacher salaries fell more than 20% between 1999 and 2019, the second largest decline in the country — related
- Noncertified Texas teachers show the sharpest retention decline, with fewer than 40% still teaching after 5 years — related
- The value of the same teacher wage differs across states because cost of living differs, so the report adjusts starting salaries using Regional Price Parities — related
- State average starting teacher salaries in 2019-20 spanned bands from below $35,000 to $50,000 or above — related
- Teachers who enter without completed preparation are typically less effective and have significantly higher turnover than prepared teachers — related
- High teacher turnover rates may be costly to school districts, disrupt operations, and lower student achievement — related
- Instructional expenditures show the largest consistent association with achievement, with roughly 84% of variation in spending effectiveness driven by class size reductions, teacher salary increases, and reduced teacher turnover — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
turnover-and-salary-associated-with-certification |
title |
Districts' prior-year teacher turnover was negatively associated with certification rates, and certification rates tend to be higher where beginning teacher salaries are higher |
description |
Districts' prior-year teacher turnover was negatively associated with certification rates, and certification rates tend to be higher where beginning teacher salaries are higher |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2026 |
recheck_by |
2031 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — patrick-2026 |
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