The United States faced an estimated teacher shortage of approximately 64,000 teachers in 2015–16, projected to grow to as many as 112,000 by 2018¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2016 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2021: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
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q2 i? Supply and demand modeling based on federal databases estimated a shortage of approximately 64,000 teachers in 2015–16, potentially rising to 112,000 annually by 2018 if trends continue. → Sutcher 2016
Evidence¶
Sutcher 2016¶
Sutcher, L., Darling-Hammond, L., & Carver-Thomas, D. (2016). A coming crisis in teaching? Teacher supply, demand, and shortages in the U.S. Palo Alto, CA: Learning Policy Institute. https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/product/coming-crisis-teaching doi:10.54300/247.242
q2 · i? · associational · r2
The report's own supply-and-demand modeling, built from federal databases (Schools and Staffing Survey, Teacher Follow-Up Survey, Baccalaureate and Beyond, Title II data), found "an estimated teacher shortage of approximately 64,000 teachers in the 2015–16 school year." The report projects annual shortages could reach 112,000 by 2018.
"Combining estimates of supply and demand, our modeling reveals an estimated teacher shortage of approximately 64,000 teachers in the 2015–16 school year."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- In 2015–16, 48 states plus DC reported special education teacher shortages, 42 reported mathematics shortages, and 40 reported science shortages — related
- High teacher attrition, near 8% annually, is the largest share of teacher demand, and halving it could virtually eliminate shortages — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
us-teacher-shortage-64000-2015-16 |
title |
The United States faced an estimated teacher shortage of approximately 64,000 teachers in 2015–16, projected to grow to as many as 112,000 by 2018 |
description |
The United States faced an estimated teacher shortage of approximately 64,000 teachers in 2015–16, projected to grow to as many as 112,000 by 2018 |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2016 |
recheck_by |
2021 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — sutcher-2016 |
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