Almost all middle and high school academic indicators demonstrated similar predictive strength across student groups, with exceptions for science and English language arts proficiency in middle school and science proficiency and community service learning enrollment in high school¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r3 · q2
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2025: tool and model accuracy changes quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Predictive strength for almost all academic indicators was similar across student groups, with a small number of exceptions varying by indicator and outcome. → Hester 2022

Evidence¶

Hester 2022¶

Hester, C., Lazarev, V., Zacamy, J., Nardi, C., & Feygin, A. (2022). Student group differences in Arkansas' indicators of postsecondary readiness and success. Regional Educational Laboratory Southwest. https://ies.ed.gov/ncee/edlabs/regions/southwest/rel_2023-145.asp

q2 · i? · associational · r3

Marginal effects analysis from logistic regression models estimating each indicator's predictive strength separately by student group. The authors report that "Predictive strength for almost all middle and high school academic indicators was similar across student groups" with a few exceptions.

"Predictive strength for almost all middle and high school academic indicators was similar across student groups, except for science and English language arts proficiency in middle school and science proficiency and enrollment in community service learning courses in high school (table 5)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Course performance indicators predict ELL graduation better than ELL-specific indicators such as proficiency level or education interruptions — related
• Predictive accuracy of middle and high school indicators did not vary substantially between student groups — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)