Four-year enrollees had stronger academic qualifications than two-year enrollees and non-enrollees, yet many non-enrollees and two-year entrants had credentials sufficient for four-year access¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (3 entries) · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2022: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Nationally, about 90 percent of 2013 high school graduates who enrolled in a four-year college had at least a 2.5 GPA, compared to only 62 percent of two-year enrollees and 45 percent of non-enrollees. → Coca 2017 q2 i? The pattern of non-enrollees and two-year entrants holding four-year-eligible GPAs suggests non-academic factors also influence post-secondary decisions. → Coca 2017 (2) q2 i? Among CPS 2015 graduates with GPAs, a little over three-quarters who enrolled directly in a four-year college had at least a 2.5 GPA, while two-year enrollees' and non-enrollees' GPAs were much lower. → Coca 2017 (3)

Evidence¶

Coca 2017¶

Coca, V.M., Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2017). Patterns of two-year and four-year college enrollment among Chicago Public Schools graduates. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Chapter 3 national context calculated from NCES QuickStats for the High School Longitudinal Study of 2009, shown in Table 3. Enrollees at four-year colleges tended to have stronger academic qualifications than two-year enrollees and non-enrollees.

"about 90 percent of 2013 high school graduates who enrolled in a four-year college had at least a 2.5 GPA, compared to only 62 percent of two-year enrollees and 45 percent of non-enrollees"

Coca 2017 (2)¶

Coca, V.M., Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2017). Patterns of two-year and four-year college enrollment among Chicago Public Schools graduates. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Authors' interpretation of the national GPA-by-enrollment-status pattern in Chapter 3, noting a notable group of non-enrollees and two-year entrants had GPAs that would presumably give them access to a four-year institution.

"This pattern supports a wide array of stud - ies that suggests non-academic factors, such as eco - nomic factors, social resources, and financial resources, also influence student post-secondary decisions."

Coca 2017 (3)¶

Coca, V.M., Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2017). Patterns of two-year and four-year college enrollment among Chicago Public Schools graduates. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Chapter 3 descriptive analysis of CPS 2015 graduates' pre-college academic profiles by immediate enrollment status. The report states there is little reason to believe national patterns differ dramatically from those in Chicago.

"a little over three-quarters who enrolled directly in a four-year college had at least a 2.5 GPA, while the GPAs of two-year enrollees and non-enrollees were much lower in comparison"

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in college, 46% completed a credential within six years, with large gaps by enrollment pathway — related
• Four-year college graduation rates remained flat at about 49 percent for direct four-year enrollees, with much lower rates for two-year (8 percent) and delayed enrollees (4 percent) — related
• Delaying college enrollment was associated with low completion: only 8 percent of CPS students who delayed completed a degree or credential within six years — related
• Six-year college completion among the CPS class of 2015 varied sharply by enrollment pathway: 55.8% for immediate four-year enrollees, 32.5% for immediate two-year enrollees, and 7.8% for delayed/non-enrollees — related
• Stopping out was common and associated with non-completion: about 90 percent of CPS graduates who took a semester off did not finish a degree within six years — related
• CPS graduates' four-year college graduation rate remained roughly constant over seven years (46 to 48 percent) and well below the national rate — related
• College completion rates among immediate enrollees varied widely by community area, ranging from 24 to 74 percent for the class of 2013 — related
• CPS graduates took more than 6,000 distinct post-secondary paths, so continuous enrollment at one college was not the standard route to a credential — related
• College mismatch is common among Chicago graduates: only 38 percent of the most qualified students enrolled in a match college, and many mismatch by enrolling in two-year colleges or not enrolling — related
• Students who commit to a program of study within their first year are more likely to complete a credential or transfer within five years — related
• Ten percent of CPS graduates who did not enroll in college within six years had an average high school GPA above 3.0, a missed opportunity for high-achieving students — related