CPS graduates' four-year college graduation rate remained roughly constant over seven years (46 to 48 percent) and well below the national rate¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Among CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in four-year colleges, bachelor's completion within six years changed little, remaining about 20 points below the national rate of 60 percent. → Nagaoka 2017

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2017¶

Nagaoka, J., Seeskin, A., & Coca, V.M. (2017). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2016. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/data

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive analysis of six-year bachelor's completion among immediate four-year enrollees (Figure 5; 2009 N=17,781). The report states 46 percent of 2003 enrollees “completed a bachelor’s degree vs. 48 percent for 2009 college enrollees,” a rate well below the 60 percent national rate.

"Forty-six percent of students who graduated from CPS and enrolled in a four-year college in 2003 completed a bachelor’s degree vs. 48 percent for 2009 college enrollees."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Four-year college graduation rates remained flat at about 49 percent for direct four-year enrollees, with much lower rates for two-year (8 percent) and delayed enrollees (4 percent) — related
• CPS's four-year college graduation rate has remained relatively steady, hovering near 50 percent since 2003 — related
• College completion rates among immediate enrollees varied widely by community area, ranging from 24 to 74 percent for the class of 2013 — related
• Six-year college completion among the CPS class of 2015 varied sharply by enrollment pathway: 55.8% for immediate four-year enrollees, 32.5% for immediate two-year enrollees, and 7.8% for delayed/non-enrollees — related
• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in college, 46% completed a credential within six years, with large gaps by enrollment pathway — related
• Four-year enrollees had stronger academic qualifications than two-year enrollees and non-enrollees, yet many non-enrollees and two-year entrants had credentials sufficient for four-year access — related
• Half of CPS 2017 graduates who immediately enrolled in a four-year college completed a bachelor's degree within six years — related
• Academically advanced students default to traditional feeder colleges: over 40 percent of four-year enrollees attend one of the six most popular CPS colleges — related
• CPS alumni college completion (48%) remains below the national average (64%), with 56% of immediate four-year and 32% of immediate two-year enrollees completing within six years — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• The six-year college graduation rate for CPS graduates enrolling in four-year colleges rose to 50 percent in 2014, 10 points below the national rate — reports the opposite
• CPS class of 2024 students reached near-record highs in high school graduation (84%) and immediate college enrollment (66%), on par with national averages — related
• Two-year persistence in four-year colleges declined from 66 percent to 60 percent over five years even as enrollee numbers grew — related
• Immediate four-year enrollees were far more likely than immediate two-year enrollees to complete a four-year degree within six years (48 percent vs 7 percent) — related
• The CPS four-year college enrollment rate rose from 33 percent in 2006 to 42 percent in 2014, slightly below the national rate — related
• CPS four-year completion rates rose 7 percentage points over ten years while enrollees nearly doubled, but remained far below six-year rates — reports the opposite