Four-year college graduation rates remained flat at about 49 percent for direct four-year enrollees, with much lower rates for two-year (8 percent) and delayed enrollees (4 percent)¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2018 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2023: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? The six-year bachelor's completion rate for CPS graduates who enrolled directly in a four-year college stayed at about 49 percent, while immediate two-year enrollees graduated at 8 percent and non-immediate enrollees at 4 percent. → Nagaoka 2018

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2018¶

Nagaoka, J., & Seeskin, A. (2018). The Educational Attainment of Chicago Public Schools Students: 2017. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/educational-attainment-chicago-public-schools-students-2017

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive trend analysis shown in Figure 6 for high school graduating classes of 2003–2010, using NSC data. The brief reports 8 percent completion for direct two-year enrollees and 4 percent for graduates who did not enroll directly.

"The four-year college graduation rate for CPS high school graduates who made an immediate transition to a four-year college and graduated with a bachelor’s degree within six years continued to remain relatively flat, at about 49 percent (see Figure 6)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• CPS's four-year college graduation rate has remained relatively steady, hovering near 50 percent since 2003 — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• The percent of CPS ninth-graders projected to earn a bachelor's degree within six years of high school graduation nearly doubled from 11 percent in 2006 to 20 percent in 2018 — related
• The 2017 CPS Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index is estimated at 19 percent, up from 11 percent in 2006, with the Direct Bachelor's DAI at 17 percent — related
• Two-year persistence in four-year colleges declined from 66 percent to 60 percent over five years even as enrollee numbers grew — related
• Nearly half (47 percent) of CPS graduates enrolled directly in a four-year college in 2016, with total direct enrollment up by roughly 5,500 students over a decade — related
• Small year-to-year increases in CPS milestones have accumulated so that approximately 6,400 more students enroll directly in college today than 12 years ago — related
• Two-thirds of CPS graduates immediately enrolled in a two- or four-year college in 2017, up from 50 percent in 2006 — related
• Only 12.9 percent of students without prior college experience graduated within five years, putting them at risk of credit expiration — related
• Charter high school students had comparable high school graduation but much higher four-year college enrollment, selective-college enrollment, and four-semester college completion than comparable non-charter students — related
• CPS graduates' four-year college graduation rate remained roughly constant over seven years (46 to 48 percent) and well below the national rate — related
• A rural district that closed device and connectivity divides and trained teachers saw graduation rates rise from 67 percent to over 94 percent and college enrollment double — related
• Students who enroll in developmental education courses attain degrees at lower rates than comparable entrants who do not — related
• College completion rates among immediate enrollees varied widely by community area, ranging from 24 to 74 percent for the class of 2013 — related
• Six-year college completion among the CPS class of 2015 varied sharply by enrollment pathway: 55.8% for immediate four-year enrollees, 32.5% for immediate two-year enrollees, and 7.8% for delayed/non-enrollees — related
• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in college, 46% completed a credential within six years, with large gaps by enrollment pathway — related
• Delaying college enrollment was associated with low completion: only 8 percent of CPS students who delayed completed a degree or credential within six years — related
• Immediate four-year enrollees were far more likely than immediate two-year enrollees to complete a four-year degree within six years (48 percent vs 7 percent) — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Four-year enrollees had stronger academic qualifications than two-year enrollees and non-enrollees, yet many non-enrollees and two-year entrants had credentials sufficient for four-year access — related
• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in a bachelor's-degree-granting institution, 30% completed within four years versus 51% within six years — related
• Half of CPS 2017 graduates who immediately enrolled in a four-year college completed a bachelor's degree within six years — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• A record high 7,368 students from the CPS class of 2018 graduated from college with a degree or certificate — related
• Academically advanced students default to traditional feeder colleges: over 40 percent of four-year enrollees attend one of the six most popular CPS colleges — related
• CPS alumni college completion (48%) remains below the national average (64%), with 56% of immediate four-year and 32% of immediate two-year enrollees completing within six years — related
• Few CPS graduates who delay college entry or first enroll in a two-year college go on to earn a four-year degree — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• CPS four-year completion rates rose 7 percentage points over ten years while enrollees nearly doubled, but remained far below six-year rates — related
• College was the most prevalent postsecondary pathway selection, with CTE/non-CTE differences narrowing over time — related
• Students meeting the continuous four-term persistence definition completed college at higher rates than students meeting the third-semester definition, for both bachelor's and community college enrollees — related
• AI/AN youth dropout rates reach up to 50 percent, and college matriculation and retention rates remain very low compared to White peers — related
• Students who commit to a program of study within their first year are more likely to complete a credential or transfer within five years — related
• Community college credential completion rates are low and have slightly declined, with markedly lower rates for black and Hispanic students — related
• About three-quarters of U.S. high school graduates go to college within two years, yet nearly half of college students take at least one remedial course, and students who required remediation graduated at lower rates — related
• Among the CPS class of 2009, 76 percent enrolled in college within six years, and delayed entry was concentrated among two-year starters rather than four-year starters
• CPS class of 2024 students reached near-record highs in high school graduation (84%) and immediate college enrollment (66%), on par with national averages — related
• The six-year college graduation rate for CPS graduates enrolling in four-year colleges rose to 50 percent in 2014, 10 points below the national rate — related
• The CPS four-year college enrollment rate rose from 33 percent in 2006 to 42 percent in 2014, slightly below the national rate — related