AS and NS JOSs reliably predicted later solving outcomes, with AS JOSs predicting success and NS JOSs predicting failure¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · causalr3·q3·i3large
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q3 i3 Anagrams that received AS JOSs were more frequent among solved than not-solved anagrams, and NS JOSs were more frequent among not-solved than solved anagrams. → Burton 2023
Evidence¶
Burton 2023¶
Burton, O. R., Bodner, G. E., Williamson, P., & Arnold, M. M. (2023). How accurate and predictive are judgments of solvability? Explorations in a two-phase anagram solving paradigm. Metacognition and Learning, 18, 1–35. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-022-09313-y
q3 · i3 · causal · r3
Experiment 1 solved-versus-not-solved outcome analysis: AS JOS effect η²p = .37; NS JOSs showed the reverse pattern, F(1, 93) = 56.40, p < .001, η²p = .38. "Anagrams that had received an AS JOS were more frequent among solved anagrams than among not-solved anagrams".
"Anagrams that had received an AS JOS were more frequent among solved anagrams than among not-solved anagrams in the solving phase, F(1, 93) = 53.70, MSE = 3.75, p < .001, η2 p = .37"
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- S JOSs were discriminating but not predictive of later solving success in Experiments 1 and 2 — reports the opposite
- In a self-regulated solving phase, S JOSs predicted solving success and AS and NS JOSs predicted effort regulation — related
- Training improved the predictiveness of AS and NS JOSs but not S JOSs, indicating training increased solving during the JOS task rather than JOS predictiveness — related
- Solvable judgments of solvability discriminate solvable from unsolvable anagrams even after excluding already-solved judgments — related
- Training with longer-duration anagrams improved AS JOS discrimination in blocks 1–3 but not S JOS discrimination — related
- JOS discrimination decreased across blocks as anagram presentation duration was reduced, driven by different mechanisms for AS versus S JOSs — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
as-ns-jos-predict-solving-outcomes |
title |
AS and NS JOSs reliably predicted later solving outcomes, with AS JOSs predicting success and NS JOSs predicting failure |
description |
AS and NS JOSs reliably predicted later solving outcomes, with AS JOSs predicting success and NS JOSs predicting failure |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2023 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-18 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — burton-2023 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.