California saw a modest increase in newly prepared teachers beginning in 2020, though completers remain about half the 2004 peak¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · associational r1–r2 · q3
Currency · newest study 2024 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q3 i? Traditional teacher preparation completers rose about 10% from 2019 to 2020 (9,054 to 9,980) and another 14% in 2021 (to 11,424), after initial state investments took effect. → Carver-Thomas 2024 q3 i? CSU teacher preparation enrollments rose a steady 6% between 2019–20 and 2022–23, but CSU-issued credentials declined 13% between 2018–19 and 2022–23. → Carver-Thomas 2024 (2)

Evidence¶

Carver-Thomas 2024¶

Carver-Thomas, D., Leung-Gagné, M., & Jeannite, D. (2024). Tackling teacher shortages: What we know about California's teacher workforce investments. Learning Policy Institute. https://doi.org/10.54300/137.196

q3 · i? · associational · r2

Analysis of Higher Education Act Title II State Report Card System data (Figure 1). The report cautions the increases coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic, which also influenced workforce trends, so the investments' contribution is not isolated.

"however, California saw a modest uptick in the number of candidates completing traditional TPPs between 2019 and 2020, with a 1-year increase of about 10% (from 9,054 to 9,980 completers).11 2021 saw another sizable 1-year increase of 14% in completers (from 9,980 to 11,424)."

Carver-Thomas 2024 (2)¶

Carver-Thomas, D., Leung-Gagné, M., & Jeannite, D. (2024). Tackling teacher shortages: What we know about California's teacher workforce investments. Learning Policy Institute. https://doi.org/10.54300/137.196

q3 · i? · associational · r1

Enrollment analysis of the California State University system, which historically prepares about half of new teachers. The report notes this enrollment growth had not yet translated into licensed-teacher gains, with CSU credentials declining 13% between 2018–19 and 2022–23.

"The CSU saw a steady 6% increase in teacher preparation enrollments between 2019–20 and 2022–23 (from 17,490 to 18,470).13 Meanwhile, enrollments were either flat or declining in private institutions of higher education, University of California programs, or local education agencies (LEAs)."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• Estimated teacher hires increased 43% between 2013–14 and 2017–18, outpacing growth in credential issuance — related
• New California credentials stagnated at about 11,500 per year while estimated annual hires exceeded 20,000, so demand far outpaced supply — related
• TRGP-funded residents made up between 20 and 40 percent of all California residents between 2020-21 and 2022-23, and about 11 percent of teacher preparation completers self-identified as residency-prepared in 2022-23 — related
• Annual output in Instructional Science rose markedly from around 2008, peaked at about 55 documents in the early 2010s, then declined to roughly 30–40 papers annually — related
• Teacher preparation enrollments in California declined more than 75% between 2001–02 and 2013–14 — related