Estimated teacher hires increased 43% between 2013–14 and 2017–18, outpacing growth in credential issuance¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2020 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2025: baselines and conditions change
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
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q2 i? Estimated teacher hires increased by 43% between 2013–14 and 2017–18, far outpacing the 21% increase in candidates completing teacher preparation over the same period. → Carver-Thomas 2020
Evidence¶
Carver-Thomas 2020¶
Carver-Thomas, D., Kini, T., & Burns, D. (2020). Sharpening the divide: How California's teacher shortages expand inequality. Palo Alto, CA: Learning Policy Institute. https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/product/sharp-divide-california-teacher-shortages
q2 · i? · associational · r2
Analysis of CDE staffing and enrollment data attributes increased demand partly to districts hiring to reduce student–teacher ratios, which rose to 24:1 after the Great Recession, the highest in the nation versus a 15:1 national average.
"The 43% increase in estimated teacher hires between 2013–14 and 2017–18 far outpaces the 21% increase in the number of candidates completing teacher preparation over the same period."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Teacher preparation enrollments in California declined more than 75% between 2001–02 and 2013–14 — related
- California issued more than 13,000 intern credentials, permits, and waivers in 2017–18, nearly triple the 2012–13 number — related
- New California credentials stagnated at about 11,500 per year while estimated annual hires exceeded 20,000, so demand far outpaced supply — related
- Teachers on substandard credentials are unequally distributed, concentrated in districts serving more low-income students — related
- California TPP completers applying for preliminary credentials increased 35% between 2016–17 and 2020–21, with the largest increases among multiple subject credential earners and private institutions — related
- Half of all new California teaching credentials issued in 2023 went to teachers on substandard credentials — related
- Districts attribute shortages chiefly to a shrinking supply of newly credentialed teachers, cited by 79% of shortage districts — related
- California saw a modest increase in newly prepared teachers beginning in 2020, though completers remain about half the 2004 peak — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
teacher-hire-demand-increased-43-percent |
title |
Estimated teacher hires increased 43% between 2013–14 and 2017–18, outpacing growth in credential issuance |
description |
Estimated teacher hires increased 43% between 2013–14 and 2017–18, outpacing growth in credential issuance |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2020 |
recheck_by |
2025 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — carver-thomas-2020 |
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